Race 6A

mcsa-open-fleet-race-qualifier

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

54.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Nithya Balachander 12.8% 11.5% 11.1% 10.9% 10.3% 10.9% 10.2% 7.8% 6.9% 5.3% 2.4%
Odey Hariri 8.2% 7.8% 9.3% 8.6% 9.1% 9.2% 11.2% 10.9% 10.8% 9.8% 5.1%
Charlie Herrick 10.9% 10.3% 9.9% 10.2% 9.1% 10.6% 10.0% 10.8% 8.8% 6.7% 2.8%
Joseph Gallagher 9.7% 10.3% 8.8% 9.9% 11.0% 10.4% 9.5% 9.8% 9.5% 8.8% 2.2%
Jake Weinstein 11.8% 11.6% 11.2% 11.2% 11.6% 9.9% 10.2% 8.6% 7.6% 4.5% 1.7%
Greg Bittle 7.2% 8.6% 9.6% 8.6% 10.1% 10.0% 10.4% 10.3% 11.8% 9.6% 4.0%
Nick Myneni 8.1% 8.6% 8.6% 9.3% 9.9% 9.2% 9.7% 11.5% 11.7% 9.2% 4.2%
Christian Ehrnrooth 14.6% 13.8% 14.5% 12.1% 10.2% 10.2% 8.1% 7.3% 5.6% 2.9% 0.7%
Jenna Kozal 3.6% 4.0% 4.7% 5.2% 5.7% 6.7% 6.9% 8.3% 12.8% 23.1% 19.1%
Carly Irwin 1.6% 2.4% 1.9% 1.9% 2.4% 2.9% 3.5% 5.3% 7.1% 14.8% 56.1%
Joe Serpa 11.6% 11.2% 10.4% 12.1% 10.8% 10.0% 10.5% 9.3% 7.1% 5.3% 1.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.