← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Jacksonville University0.60+2.28vs Predicted
-
2University of Miami0.14+2.29vs Predicted
-
3University of South Florida0.36+0.74vs Predicted
-
4Jacksonville University0.18-0.05vs Predicted
-
5Rollins College0.29-1.26vs Predicted
-
6Embry-Riddle University-1.66+1.10vs Predicted
-
8University of Miami-0.03-3.55vs Predicted
-
10Palm Beach Atlantic University-0.94-3.98vs Predicted
-
11Florida Institute of Technology-3.04-2.57vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.28Jacksonville University0.600.2%1st Place
-
4.29University of Miami0.140.1%1st Place
-
3.74University of South Florida0.360.2%1st Place
-
3.95Jacksonville University0.180.1%1st Place
-
3.74Rollins College0.290.2%1st Place
-
7.1Embry-Riddle University-1.660.0%1st Place
-
4.45University of Miami-0.030.1%1st Place
-
6.02Palm Beach Atlantic University-0.940.1%1st Place
-
8.43Florida Institute of Technology-3.040.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Darby Smith | 22.2% | 19.4% | 16.0% | 15.4% | 11.7% | 9.1% | 4.9% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| Christopher McCollum | 9.8% | 14.2% | 14.3% | 15.4% | 15.7% | 13.6% | 10.5% | 5.7% | 0.8% |
| Zach O'connor | 17.0% | 15.4% | 16.1% | 15.4% | 12.7% | 13.4% | 7.8% | 2.0% | 0.2% |
| Mason Mattice | 14.3% | 14.5% | 15.4% | 15.5% | 15.3% | 12.2% | 9.2% | 3.2% | 0.4% |
| Milo Fleming | 17.2% | 17.5% | 15.8% | 12.8% | 12.6% | 12.6% | 8.1% | 2.8% | 0.6% |
| Timothy Dolan | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 5.2% | 7.8% | 16.3% | 43.2% | 16.5% |
| Harrison Vanderground | 10.7% | 11.1% | 13.7% | 13.2% | 16.9% | 15.0% | 12.9% | 5.6% | 0.9% |
| Nathan Hjort | 5.9% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 13.8% | 25.6% | 23.4% | 5.5% |
| Aaron Lukowski | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 2.5% | 4.7% | 12.8% | 75.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.