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📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of South Florida0.36+2.74vs Predicted
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2University of Miami-0.03+2.66vs Predicted
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3Jacksonville University0.60+0.32vs Predicted
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4University of Miami0.14+0.04vs Predicted
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5Embry-Riddle University-1.66+1.98vs Predicted
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6Jacksonville University0.18-2.04vs Predicted
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7Rollins College0.29-3.20vs Predicted
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8Palm Beach Atlantic University-0.94-1.95vs Predicted
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10Florida Institute of Technology-3.04-1.56vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.74University of South Florida0.360.2%1st Place
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4.66University of Miami-0.030.1%1st Place
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3.32Jacksonville University0.600.2%1st Place
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4.04University of Miami0.140.1%1st Place
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6.98Embry-Riddle University-1.660.0%1st Place
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3.96Jacksonville University0.180.1%1st Place
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3.8Rollins College0.290.2%1st Place
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6.05Palm Beach Atlantic University-0.940.1%1st Place
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8.44Florida Institute of Technology-3.040.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zach O'connor | 17.0% | 16.4% | 14.8% | 15.3% | 13.7% | 12.0% | 8.0% | 2.7% | 0.1% |
| Harrison Vanderground | 9.3% | 10.8% | 11.1% | 15.0% | 15.2% | 14.2% | 15.4% | 7.7% | 1.3% |
| Darby Smith | 21.3% | 19.8% | 16.3% | 14.2% | 12.4% | 9.9% | 4.8% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Christopher McCollum | 14.9% | 13.2% | 15.2% | 14.7% | 12.6% | 16.1% | 8.5% | 4.4% | 0.4% |
| Timothy Dolan | 2.4% | 2.3% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 16.4% | 39.2% | 17.4% |
| Mason Mattice | 13.6% | 14.2% | 16.6% | 14.8% | 14.9% | 14.0% | 8.4% | 3.3% | 0.2% |
| Milo Fleming | 15.5% | 17.6% | 15.2% | 13.4% | 15.2% | 11.5% | 7.9% | 3.5% | 0.2% |
| Nathan Hjort | 5.4% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 9.1% | 12.6% | 25.4% | 25.1% | 5.2% |
| Aaron Lukowski | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 5.2% | 12.9% | 75.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.