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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.6
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Columbia University0.63+0.78vs Predicted
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2Princeton University-0.09+0.44vs Predicted
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3University of Maryland-0.53-0.07vs Predicted
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4SUNY Stony Brook-2.11+0.58vs Predicted
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5University of Delaware-1.17-1.27vs Predicted
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6Monmouth University-3.23-0.45vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.78Columbia University0.630.5%1st Place
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2.44Princeton University-0.090.3%1st Place
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2.93University of Maryland-0.530.2%1st Place
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4.58SUNY Stony Brook-2.110.0%1st Place
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3.73University of Delaware-1.170.1%1st Place
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5.55Monmouth University-3.230.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elizabeth Frost | 50.0% | 29.1% | 15.4% | 4.4% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Carly Mraz | 25.7% | 29.4% | 26.2% | 13.3% | 5.1% | 0.3% |
| Sophie Grigg | 15.3% | 20.4% | 30.8% | 23.9% | 8.7% | 0.9% |
| Sophia Dimont | 2.4% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 19.3% | 44.7% | 20.1% |
| Olivia Coffill | 6.0% | 13.7% | 17.8% | 33.3% | 22.7% | 6.5% |
| Julia Marich | 0.6% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 5.8% | 17.8% | 72.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.