← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Maryland-0.53+1.97vs Predicted
-
2Princeton University-0.09+0.45vs Predicted
-
3University of Delaware-1.17+0.60vs Predicted
-
4Columbia University0.63-2.23vs Predicted
-
5SUNY Stony Brook-2.11-0.34vs Predicted
-
6Monmouth University-3.23-0.46vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.97University of Maryland-0.530.1%1st Place
-
2.45Princeton University-0.090.2%1st Place
-
3.6University of Delaware-1.170.1%1st Place
-
1.77Columbia University0.630.5%1st Place
-
4.66SUNY Stony Brook-2.110.0%1st Place
-
5.54Monmouth University-3.230.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sophie Grigg | 15.0% | 20.6% | 30.0% | 23.0% | 9.6% | 1.8% |
| Carly Mraz | 24.3% | 30.9% | 25.0% | 15.5% | 3.9% | 0.4% |
| Olivia Coffill | 8.2% | 11.4% | 20.4% | 35.0% | 21.7% | 3.3% |
| Elizabeth Frost | 49.4% | 31.6% | 12.6% | 5.7% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Sophia Dimont | 2.5% | 4.2% | 9.2% | 15.4% | 46.1% | 22.6% |
| Julia Marich | 0.6% | 1.3% | 2.8% | 5.4% | 18.1% | 71.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.