Race 7A

mcsa-open-fleet-race-qualifier

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

54.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Christian Ehrnrooth 15.1% 13.4% 13.0% 11.8% 11.9% 10.0% 8.8% 7.0% 5.0% 3.4% 0.8%
Greg Bittle 8.5% 9.2% 8.8% 8.9% 9.1% 9.9% 10.8% 10.2% 10.4% 9.7% 4.5%
Jake Weinstein 11.8% 11.4% 12.6% 11.1% 11.2% 9.2% 10.2% 9.4% 7.2% 4.5% 1.3%
Odey Hariri 7.8% 8.4% 8.2% 8.5% 8.6% 10.7% 10.8% 11.1% 11.6% 10.3% 4.0%
Joe Serpa 11.6% 11.7% 11.3% 11.8% 10.5% 10.4% 9.4% 8.9% 7.4% 5.1% 1.7%
Nithya Balachander 11.7% 11.0% 11.5% 11.4% 9.3% 9.2% 10.5% 9.2% 8.6% 5.3% 2.2%
Charlie Herrick 11.5% 9.7% 10.8% 9.4% 10.3% 10.3% 10.4% 9.8% 8.0% 7.3% 2.4%
Nick Myneni 7.8% 9.8% 8.2% 9.8% 10.3% 11.2% 9.0% 10.8% 10.5% 9.3% 3.1%
Jenna Kozal 3.2% 4.2% 4.5% 5.1% 6.7% 6.8% 6.2% 8.2% 12.6% 24.1% 18.4%
Joseph Gallagher 9.0% 10.1% 9.7% 9.3% 9.6% 9.6% 10.4% 10.4% 11.6% 7.3% 2.9%
Carly Irwin 1.8% 1.2% 1.3% 2.8% 2.4% 2.9% 3.4% 4.9% 7.0% 13.6% 58.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.