← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1SUNY Stony Brook-1.63+2.32vs Predicted
-
2Columbia University0.45-0.54vs Predicted
-
3University of Delaware-1.78+0.44vs Predicted
-
4Princeton University-0.92-1.42vs Predicted
-
5University of Maryland-2.85-0.28vs Predicted
-
6Monmouth University-3.79-0.52vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.32SUNY Stony Brook-1.630.1%1st Place
-
1.46Columbia University0.450.7%1st Place
-
3.44University of Delaware-1.780.1%1st Place
-
2.58Princeton University-0.920.1%1st Place
-
4.72University of Maryland-2.850.0%1st Place
-
5.48Monmouth University-3.790.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alexandra Leen | 8.9% | 17.1% | 28.1% | 28.1% | 14.4% | 3.4% |
| Eva DeCastro | 65.7% | 24.8% | 7.1% | 2.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Anna Servidio | 7.6% | 15.6% | 25.5% | 30.5% | 17.8% | 3.0% |
| Evelyn Walsh | 15.0% | 37.4% | 27.4% | 16.1% | 3.4% | 0.7% |
| Caroline Fuller | 2.0% | 4.1% | 8.4% | 17.1% | 42.1% | 26.3% |
| Cheyenne Fair | 0.8% | 1.0% | 3.5% | 5.9% | 22.2% | 66.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.