← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1SUNY Stony Brook-1.63+2.35vs Predicted
-
2Columbia University0.45-0.54vs Predicted
-
3Princeton University-0.92-0.45vs Predicted
-
4University of Delaware-1.78-0.50vs Predicted
-
5Monmouth University-3.79+0.48vs Predicted
-
6University of Maryland-2.85-1.33vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.35SUNY Stony Brook-1.630.1%1st Place
-
1.46Columbia University0.450.6%1st Place
-
2.55Princeton University-0.920.2%1st Place
-
3.5University of Delaware-1.780.1%1st Place
-
5.48Monmouth University-3.790.0%1st Place
-
4.67University of Maryland-2.850.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alexandra Leen | 8.9% | 17.4% | 26.0% | 29.3% | 14.7% | 3.7% |
| Eva DeCastro | 64.8% | 25.3% | 8.6% | 1.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Evelyn Walsh | 17.9% | 34.6% | 27.4% | 15.5% | 4.2% | 0.4% |
| Anna Servidio | 6.2% | 15.9% | 25.0% | 30.8% | 18.7% | 3.4% |
| Cheyenne Fair | 0.4% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 6.3% | 18.7% | 69.0% |
| Caroline Fuller | 1.8% | 4.5% | 9.7% | 16.8% | 43.7% | 23.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.