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📊 Prediction Accuracy
90.9%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Clemson University0.38+1.69vs Predicted
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2Duke University-0.18+1.58vs Predicted
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3North Carolina State University-0.91+2.19vs Predicted
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4University of South Carolina-0.39+0.09vs Predicted
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5Georgia Institute of Technology-1.23+0.72vs Predicted
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6The Citadel-0.60-1.58vs Predicted
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7University of North Carolina-1.20-1.49vs Predicted
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8University of Tennessee-2.51+0.01vs Predicted
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9Auburn University-2.26-1.24vs Predicted
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10-2.63-1.72vs Predicted
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11University of Georgia-5.30-0.24vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.69Clemson University0.380.3%1st Place
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3.58Duke University-0.180.2%1st Place
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5.19North Carolina State University-0.910.1%1st Place
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4.09University of South Carolina-0.390.1%1st Place
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5.72Georgia Institute of Technology-1.230.1%1st Place
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4.42The Citadel-0.600.1%1st Place
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5.51University of North Carolina-1.200.1%1st Place
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8.01University of Tennessee-2.510.0%1st Place
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7.76Auburn University-2.260.0%1st Place
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8.28-2.630.0%1st Place
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10.76University of Georgia-5.300.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luke Adams | 30.1% | 22.9% | 19.1% | 13.0% | 8.4% | 4.4% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ian Hoogenboom | 18.7% | 16.6% | 19.0% | 13.2% | 13.4% | 9.0% | 6.7% | 2.5% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Oscar Lubliner | 7.8% | 9.3% | 9.6% | 11.6% | 13.5% | 15.1% | 14.3% | 11.6% | 5.7% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
| Molly Loring | 12.8% | 15.7% | 14.1% | 15.1% | 15.1% | 12.5% | 8.4% | 4.6% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Kaitlyn Bagnoni | 5.7% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 10.4% | 10.2% | 12.8% | 15.8% | 14.1% | 10.1% | 3.8% | 0.2% |
| Bradlee Anderson | 11.3% | 12.8% | 13.2% | 15.6% | 15.4% | 11.8% | 9.0% | 6.2% | 3.8% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Emma Gumny | 6.8% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 10.9% | 11.4% | 15.5% | 15.1% | 11.7% | 8.1% | 3.5% | 0.1% |
| Kyle Shrewsbury | 2.2% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 6.4% | 10.3% | 15.0% | 23.3% | 28.5% | 2.5% |
| Liam Dunn | 2.7% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 6.9% | 9.9% | 19.0% | 22.5% | 21.4% | 3.9% |
| Jim Wang | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 5.4% | 8.4% | 13.6% | 22.1% | 34.5% | 3.7% |
| Jack Whittemore | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 1.3% | 2.4% | 5.3% | 89.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.