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📊 Prediction Accuracy
81.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Duke University-0.18+2.67vs Predicted
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2Clemson University0.38+0.60vs Predicted
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3University of South Carolina-0.39+1.17vs Predicted
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4University of North Carolina-1.20+1.79vs Predicted
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5Georgia Institute of Technology-1.23+0.69vs Predicted
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6North Carolina State University-0.91-0.93vs Predicted
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7The Citadel-0.60-2.73vs Predicted
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8Auburn University-2.26-0.43vs Predicted
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9University of Tennessee-2.51-0.81vs Predicted
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10-2.63-1.78vs Predicted
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11University of Georgia-5.30-0.25vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.67Duke University-0.180.2%1st Place
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2.6Clemson University0.380.3%1st Place
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4.17University of South Carolina-0.390.1%1st Place
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5.79University of North Carolina-1.200.1%1st Place
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5.69Georgia Institute of Technology-1.230.1%1st Place
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5.07North Carolina State University-0.910.1%1st Place
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4.27The Citadel-0.600.1%1st Place
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7.57Auburn University-2.260.0%1st Place
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8.19University of Tennessee-2.510.0%1st Place
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8.22-2.630.0%1st Place
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10.75University of Georgia-5.300.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ian Hoogenboom | 15.4% | 18.0% | 17.9% | 15.4% | 13.5% | 10.3% | 5.9% | 2.7% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Luke Adams | 33.1% | 23.1% | 17.1% | 13.1% | 7.2% | 3.9% | 2.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Molly Loring | 12.9% | 13.1% | 15.2% | 15.7% | 14.0% | 13.5% | 8.8% | 4.5% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Emma Gumny | 5.9% | 5.9% | 8.7% | 9.6% | 10.9% | 15.6% | 16.0% | 13.5% | 10.8% | 2.9% | 0.2% |
| Kaitlyn Bagnoni | 5.9% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 9.5% | 12.8% | 12.4% | 15.5% | 15.3% | 8.4% | 3.9% | 0.1% |
| Oscar Lubliner | 8.5% | 9.7% | 10.9% | 12.3% | 13.1% | 14.4% | 14.3% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 1.8% | 0.1% |
| Bradlee Anderson | 12.1% | 15.0% | 13.9% | 14.3% | 14.5% | 11.3% | 9.2% | 6.2% | 3.0% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Liam Dunn | 2.6% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 12.2% | 18.2% | 20.3% | 21.5% | 1.8% |
| Kyle Shrewsbury | 1.6% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 15.1% | 25.0% | 28.9% | 5.2% |
| Jim Wang | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 8.1% | 14.6% | 20.8% | 33.9% | 3.8% |
| Jack Whittemore | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.6% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 5.9% | 88.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.