Race 8A

mcsa-open-fleet-race-qualifier

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

54.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Odey Hariri 8.5% 8.3% 8.2% 9.9% 9.6% 9.2% 10.2% 10.3% 11.5% 9.9% 4.3%
Nithya Balachander 11.2% 10.7% 10.4% 11.9% 10.1% 10.5% 9.8% 9.2% 8.8% 5.2% 2.2%
Jake Weinstein 11.8% 11.5% 12.6% 10.2% 9.6% 9.9% 9.0% 9.8% 8.3% 5.5% 1.8%
Joe Serpa 11.5% 12.2% 11.4% 10.8% 11.1% 10.4% 9.3% 7.6% 7.6% 5.9% 2.1%
Charlie Herrick 10.1% 9.3% 10.5% 11.2% 9.6% 9.6% 10.6% 9.9% 9.3% 7.1% 2.8%
Christian Ehrnrooth 14.5% 14.0% 12.6% 11.9% 11.3% 9.9% 8.7% 6.5% 6.4% 3.3% 1.0%
Joseph Gallagher 10.1% 9.0% 9.4% 8.3% 11.1% 11.2% 10.5% 10.7% 8.6% 7.7% 3.5%
Nick Myneni 7.1% 10.1% 8.8% 8.6% 9.4% 9.2% 10.8% 12.4% 9.6% 10.2% 3.9%
Jenna Kozal 4.5% 3.4% 5.6% 5.0% 5.9% 6.9% 6.9% 8.8% 12.2% 20.8% 20.1%
Greg Bittle 8.5% 9.8% 8.5% 9.5% 9.7% 9.8% 10.2% 10.2% 10.4% 9.3% 4.2%
Carly Irwin 2.1% 1.8% 2.1% 2.7% 2.7% 3.4% 4.0% 4.4% 7.3% 15.2% 54.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.