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📊 Prediction Accuracy
54.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Clemson University-0.82+2.29vs Predicted
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2Duke University-1.25+2.05vs Predicted
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3North Carolina State University-1.64+2.06vs Predicted
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4Georgia Institute of Technology-0.40-1.34vs Predicted
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5Davidson College-2.28+1.28vs Predicted
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6University of North Carolina-3.52+2.83vs Predicted
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7Auburn University-2.30-0.83vs Predicted
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8University of South Carolina-2.68-0.93vs Predicted
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9University of Georgia-2.86-1.34vs Predicted
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10The Citadel-2.07-4.30vs Predicted
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11University of Tennessee-3.79-1.77vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.29Clemson University-0.820.2%1st Place
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4.05Duke University-1.250.2%1st Place
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5.06North Carolina State University-1.640.1%1st Place
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2.66Georgia Institute of Technology-0.400.3%1st Place
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6.28Davidson College-2.280.1%1st Place
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8.83University of North Carolina-3.520.0%1st Place
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6.17Auburn University-2.300.1%1st Place
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7.07University of South Carolina-2.680.0%1st Place
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7.66University of Georgia-2.860.0%1st Place
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5.7The Citadel-2.070.1%1st Place
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9.23University of Tennessee-3.790.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Avery | 19.4% | 22.5% | 16.9% | 14.9% | 12.6% | 8.2% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Jack Wigmore | 15.1% | 13.4% | 16.2% | 16.3% | 12.6% | 10.1% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 2.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Liam Holder | 8.6% | 10.1% | 10.8% | 12.0% | 14.3% | 13.6% | 13.3% | 8.8% | 5.4% | 2.7% | 0.4% |
| Alex Bagnoni | 30.4% | 24.9% | 17.8% | 13.6% | 6.3% | 3.8% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Oliver Genovese | 5.5% | 5.7% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 11.5% | 9.9% | 13.4% | 13.6% | 12.6% | 8.2% | 3.7% |
| Sarina Schmoyer | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 5.3% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 14.7% | 21.4% | 31.4% |
| Gavin Faircloth | 5.8% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 9.1% | 10.0% | 13.9% | 13.2% | 12.7% | 13.2% | 5.1% | 4.0% |
| Tyler Williams | 3.5% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 11.9% | 14.7% | 14.1% | 15.4% | 6.6% |
| Bales Brannon | 3.0% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 6.3% | 8.9% | 9.4% | 13.5% | 17.3% | 18.7% | 11.5% |
| Damian Uzonwanne | 6.2% | 7.9% | 10.1% | 10.3% | 11.4% | 12.4% | 13.7% | 11.0% | 9.6% | 6.4% | 1.0% |
| Luke Ritchie | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 8.7% | 10.4% | 21.4% | 41.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.