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📊 Prediction Accuracy
45.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgia Institute of Technology-0.40+1.60vs Predicted
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2Davidson College-2.28+4.29vs Predicted
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3North Carolina State University-1.64+2.04vs Predicted
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4The Citadel-2.07+2.02vs Predicted
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5Duke University-1.25-0.95vs Predicted
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6Clemson University-0.82-2.73vs Predicted
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7Auburn University-2.30-0.86vs Predicted
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8University of South Carolina-2.68-0.90vs Predicted
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9University of Tennessee-3.79+0.30vs Predicted
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10University of Georgia-2.86-2.54vs Predicted
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11University of North Carolina-3.52-2.27vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.6Georgia Institute of Technology-0.400.3%1st Place
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6.29Davidson College-2.280.0%1st Place
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5.04North Carolina State University-1.640.1%1st Place
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6.02The Citadel-2.070.1%1st Place
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4.05Duke University-1.250.1%1st Place
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3.27Clemson University-0.820.2%1st Place
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6.14Auburn University-2.300.1%1st Place
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7.1University of South Carolina-2.680.0%1st Place
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9.3University of Tennessee-3.790.0%1st Place
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7.46University of Georgia-2.860.0%1st Place
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8.73University of North Carolina-3.520.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alex Bagnoni | 30.3% | 26.4% | 17.7% | 13.6% | 6.4% | 3.5% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Oliver Genovese | 4.8% | 5.4% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 10.6% | 14.2% | 11.7% | 14.1% | 11.1% | 9.4% | 2.8% |
| Liam Holder | 8.6% | 9.0% | 11.7% | 13.4% | 13.2% | 14.6% | 12.0% | 9.1% | 5.7% | 2.2% | 0.5% |
| Damian Uzonwanne | 5.1% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 12.4% | 13.1% | 15.1% | 12.4% | 9.7% | 6.9% | 2.1% |
| Jack Wigmore | 14.7% | 15.5% | 14.6% | 14.8% | 14.2% | 10.2% | 8.1% | 4.6% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| William Avery | 21.9% | 20.6% | 18.7% | 15.1% | 8.8% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Gavin Faircloth | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 8.9% | 11.3% | 12.0% | 13.7% | 13.6% | 10.9% | 7.3% | 3.2% |
| Tyler Williams | 3.3% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 7.3% | 9.0% | 9.6% | 10.8% | 13.6% | 14.9% | 15.8% | 6.9% |
| Luke Ritchie | 1.3% | 1.3% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 7.4% | 10.8% | 18.9% | 45.8% |
| Bales Brannon | 2.8% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 11.2% | 14.0% | 18.0% | 16.4% | 9.5% |
| Sarina Schmoyer | 1.1% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 15.5% | 22.0% | 29.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.