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📊 Prediction Accuracy
36.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Davidson College-2.28+5.38vs Predicted
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2Duke University-1.25+2.03vs Predicted
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3Georgia Institute of Technology-0.40-0.35vs Predicted
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4The Citadel-2.07+2.01vs Predicted
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5Auburn University-2.30+1.32vs Predicted
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6Clemson University-0.82-2.72vs Predicted
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7North Carolina State University-1.64-2.33vs Predicted
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8University of Tennessee-3.79+1.24vs Predicted
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9University of South Carolina-2.68-1.80vs Predicted
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10University of Georgia-2.86-2.54vs Predicted
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11University of North Carolina-3.52-2.25vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.38Davidson College-2.280.0%1st Place
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4.03Duke University-1.250.1%1st Place
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2.65Georgia Institute of Technology-0.400.3%1st Place
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6.01The Citadel-2.070.1%1st Place
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6.32Auburn University-2.300.0%1st Place
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3.28Clemson University-0.820.2%1st Place
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4.67North Carolina State University-1.640.1%1st Place
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9.24University of Tennessee-3.790.0%1st Place
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7.2University of South Carolina-2.680.0%1st Place
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7.46University of Georgia-2.860.0%1st Place
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8.75University of North Carolina-3.520.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oliver Genovese | 3.7% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 9.0% | 9.3% | 13.4% | 14.0% | 15.9% | 11.7% | 7.3% | 3.3% |
| Jack Wigmore | 14.0% | 15.7% | 15.2% | 15.0% | 14.8% | 9.8% | 8.2% | 4.3% | 2.5% | 0.3% | 0.2% |
| Alex Bagnoni | 30.3% | 25.1% | 18.3% | 12.0% | 7.1% | 4.8% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Damian Uzonwanne | 5.1% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 12.5% | 13.7% | 13.3% | 13.3% | 9.9% | 5.9% | 2.7% |
| Gavin Faircloth | 4.7% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 10.2% | 10.2% | 10.6% | 13.8% | 13.1% | 12.2% | 8.7% | 3.8% |
| William Avery | 22.3% | 19.2% | 20.4% | 13.3% | 9.1% | 7.4% | 4.8% | 2.5% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Liam Holder | 10.7% | 11.6% | 12.3% | 15.1% | 14.2% | 11.7% | 10.4% | 6.8% | 4.7% | 2.1% | 0.4% |
| Luke Ritchie | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 12.6% | 20.0% | 42.2% |
| Tyler Williams | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 11.6% | 15.8% | 15.7% | 13.1% | 8.9% |
| Bales Brannon | 2.8% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 9.4% | 10.0% | 12.7% | 16.2% | 18.1% | 10.0% |
| Sarina Schmoyer | 1.2% | 1.1% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 13.8% | 24.3% | 28.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.