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📊 Prediction Accuracy
63.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1George Washington University1.22+2.63vs Predicted
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2Clemson University0.79+2.46vs Predicted
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3St. Mary's College of Maryland0.75+1.76vs Predicted
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4North Carolina State University-0.05+2.53vs Predicted
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5Christopher Newport University0.79-0.47vs Predicted
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6Connecticut College0.87-1.68vs Predicted
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7SUNY Maritime College-0.02-0.87vs Predicted
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8University of Vermont0.76-3.52vs Predicted
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9Washington College-0.80-1.11vs Predicted
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10University of Maryland-1.56-0.92vs Predicted
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11William and Mary-2.43-0.83vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.63George Washington University1.220.2%1st Place
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4.46Clemson University0.790.1%1st Place
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4.76St. Mary's College of Maryland0.750.1%1st Place
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6.53North Carolina State University-0.050.1%1st Place
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4.53Christopher Newport University0.790.1%1st Place
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4.32Connecticut College0.870.1%1st Place
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6.13SUNY Maritime College-0.020.1%1st Place
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4.48University of Vermont0.760.1%1st Place
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7.89Washington College-0.800.0%1st Place
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9.08University of Maryland-1.560.0%1st Place
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10.17William and Mary-2.430.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arrieta Angueira Salbidegoitia | 19.0% | 18.5% | 14.5% | 13.5% | 13.4% | 10.9% | 6.0% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Nilah Miller | 12.5% | 12.7% | 14.0% | 13.2% | 13.0% | 12.0% | 9.8% | 8.2% | 3.5% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Cho-Cho Williams | 11.6% | 9.5% | 13.3% | 13.9% | 11.1% | 13.8% | 10.6% | 9.7% | 5.1% | 1.4% | 0.0% |
| Evelyn Hannah | 5.2% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 9.4% | 14.2% | 16.3% | 16.7% | 9.2% | 1.7% |
| Grace Watlington | 13.6% | 13.5% | 12.3% | 12.3% | 11.5% | 11.1% | 12.0% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 2.0% | 0.0% |
| Natalie Fear | 13.6% | 15.9% | 12.7% | 13.3% | 12.4% | 10.8% | 9.1% | 6.7% | 4.0% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
| Isabelle Gautier | 6.5% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 9.9% | 11.4% | 12.0% | 16.6% | 13.5% | 7.3% | 1.0% |
| Audrey Commerford | 13.2% | 12.9% | 14.7% | 12.0% | 12.2% | 10.0% | 11.1% | 8.3% | 4.2% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Imogene Nuss | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 8.3% | 12.8% | 27.1% | 19.7% | 9.0% |
| Lara Nielsen | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 8.5% | 13.1% | 37.1% | 24.3% |
| Alexa Bodor | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 6.7% | 19.5% | 63.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.