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📊 Prediction Accuracy

54.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Cho-Cho Williams 10.6% 11.3% 14.0% 13.0% 12.7% 13.2% 11.4% 8.0% 4.3% 1.4% 0.1%
Grace Watlington 13.2% 12.7% 13.6% 13.3% 12.8% 12.0% 9.8% 7.2% 4.2% 0.9% 0.3%
Arrieta Angueira Salbidegoitia 19.0% 17.0% 15.7% 13.7% 13.9% 7.4% 7.3% 4.1% 1.4% 0.5% 0.0%
Evelyn Hannah 4.6% 6.3% 5.8% 6.9% 7.9% 9.1% 15.6% 15.7% 16.7% 9.4% 2.0%
Natalie Fear 15.5% 13.6% 12.4% 13.8% 12.8% 10.1% 8.8% 7.4% 4.0% 1.6% 0.0%
Isabelle Gautier 5.6% 7.6% 6.1% 7.6% 9.0% 10.6% 12.3% 16.5% 14.6% 8.3% 1.8%
Nilah Miller 15.4% 14.2% 13.7% 12.4% 12.0% 12.1% 8.2% 5.6% 4.9% 1.5% 0.0%
Imogene Nuss 3.0% 3.1% 2.5% 3.8% 5.6% 6.9% 9.6% 14.4% 22.1% 22.4% 6.6%
Audrey Commerford 11.2% 12.9% 13.4% 12.7% 10.5% 12.2% 10.2% 9.9% 5.2% 1.3% 0.5%
Lara Nielsen 1.3% 1.1% 2.0% 1.7% 2.2% 4.3% 4.8% 7.5% 16.0% 34.2% 24.9%
Alexa Bodor 0.6% 0.2% 0.8% 1.1% 0.6% 2.1% 2.0% 3.7% 6.6% 18.5% 63.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.