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📊 Prediction Accuracy
54.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1St. Mary's College of Maryland0.75+3.67vs Predicted
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2Christopher Newport University0.79+2.45vs Predicted
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3George Washington University1.22+0.70vs Predicted
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4North Carolina State University-0.05+2.57vs Predicted
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5Connecticut College0.87-0.67vs Predicted
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6SUNY Maritime College-0.02+0.30vs Predicted
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7Clemson University0.79-2.72vs Predicted
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8Washington College-0.80-0.21vs Predicted
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9University of Vermont0.76-4.30vs Predicted
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10University of Maryland-1.56-0.93vs Predicted
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11William and Mary-2.43-0.87vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.67St. Mary's College of Maryland0.750.1%1st Place
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4.45Christopher Newport University0.790.1%1st Place
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3.7George Washington University1.220.2%1st Place
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6.57North Carolina State University-0.050.0%1st Place
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4.33Connecticut College0.870.2%1st Place
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6.3SUNY Maritime College-0.020.1%1st Place
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4.28Clemson University0.790.2%1st Place
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7.79Washington College-0.800.0%1st Place
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4.7University of Vermont0.760.1%1st Place
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9.07University of Maryland-1.560.0%1st Place
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10.13William and Mary-2.430.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cho-Cho Williams | 10.6% | 11.3% | 14.0% | 13.0% | 12.7% | 13.2% | 11.4% | 8.0% | 4.3% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
| Grace Watlington | 13.2% | 12.7% | 13.6% | 13.3% | 12.8% | 12.0% | 9.8% | 7.2% | 4.2% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Arrieta Angueira Salbidegoitia | 19.0% | 17.0% | 15.7% | 13.7% | 13.9% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 4.1% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Evelyn Hannah | 4.6% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 9.1% | 15.6% | 15.7% | 16.7% | 9.4% | 2.0% |
| Natalie Fear | 15.5% | 13.6% | 12.4% | 13.8% | 12.8% | 10.1% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 4.0% | 1.6% | 0.0% |
| Isabelle Gautier | 5.6% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 10.6% | 12.3% | 16.5% | 14.6% | 8.3% | 1.8% |
| Nilah Miller | 15.4% | 14.2% | 13.7% | 12.4% | 12.0% | 12.1% | 8.2% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 1.5% | 0.0% |
| Imogene Nuss | 3.0% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 9.6% | 14.4% | 22.1% | 22.4% | 6.6% |
| Audrey Commerford | 11.2% | 12.9% | 13.4% | 12.7% | 10.5% | 12.2% | 10.2% | 9.9% | 5.2% | 1.3% | 0.5% |
| Lara Nielsen | 1.3% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 7.5% | 16.0% | 34.2% | 24.9% |
| Alexa Bodor | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 3.7% | 6.6% | 18.5% | 63.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.