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📊 Prediction Accuracy
54.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1George Washington University1.22+2.63vs Predicted
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2St. Mary's College of Maryland0.75+2.59vs Predicted
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3Connecticut College0.87+1.47vs Predicted
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4Christopher Newport University0.79+0.67vs Predicted
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5SUNY Maritime College-0.02+1.32vs Predicted
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6North Carolina State University-0.05+0.42vs Predicted
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7University of Vermont0.76-2.60vs Predicted
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8Clemson University0.79-3.61vs Predicted
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9University of Maryland-1.56+0.14vs Predicted
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10Washington College-0.80-2.18vs Predicted
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11William and Mary-2.43-0.85vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.63George Washington University1.220.2%1st Place
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4.59St. Mary's College of Maryland0.750.1%1st Place
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4.47Connecticut College0.870.1%1st Place
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4.67Christopher Newport University0.790.1%1st Place
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6.32SUNY Maritime College-0.020.1%1st Place
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6.42North Carolina State University-0.050.1%1st Place
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4.4University of Vermont0.760.1%1st Place
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4.39Clemson University0.790.1%1st Place
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9.14University of Maryland-1.560.0%1st Place
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7.82Washington College-0.800.0%1st Place
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10.15William and Mary-2.430.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arrieta Angueira Salbidegoitia | 18.5% | 18.9% | 15.3% | 13.6% | 12.7% | 10.5% | 5.4% | 3.7% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Cho-Cho Williams | 13.0% | 12.5% | 11.5% | 12.6% | 13.4% | 12.6% | 10.2% | 7.4% | 5.1% | 1.5% | 0.2% |
| Natalie Fear | 13.2% | 12.6% | 13.1% | 13.2% | 12.7% | 12.0% | 10.7% | 7.5% | 4.2% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Grace Watlington | 11.9% | 11.4% | 11.4% | 13.5% | 13.9% | 12.4% | 11.4% | 8.1% | 4.3% | 1.6% | 0.1% |
| Isabelle Gautier | 5.7% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 11.2% | 13.0% | 16.2% | 15.4% | 8.8% | 0.8% |
| Evelyn Hannah | 5.0% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 9.4% | 14.8% | 16.8% | 14.4% | 8.8% | 2.0% |
| Audrey Commerford | 14.1% | 13.5% | 13.4% | 12.7% | 12.3% | 11.8% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 3.8% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| Nilah Miller | 14.0% | 12.9% | 15.8% | 12.1% | 11.8% | 9.7% | 10.8% | 7.4% | 4.2% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Lara Nielsen | 1.0% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 4.0% | 7.5% | 13.5% | 37.7% | 25.7% |
| Imogene Nuss | 3.1% | 2.3% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 13.7% | 26.1% | 19.7% | 7.6% |
| Alexa Bodor | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 7.8% | 18.5% | 63.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.