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📊 Prediction Accuracy
72.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1George Washington University1.22+2.50vs Predicted
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2Christopher Newport University0.79+2.39vs Predicted
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3Clemson University0.79+1.52vs Predicted
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4St. Mary's College of Maryland0.75+0.62vs Predicted
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5University of Vermont0.76-0.54vs Predicted
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6SUNY Maritime College-0.02+0.25vs Predicted
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7Connecticut College0.36-1.86vs Predicted
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8North Carolina State University-0.05-1.84vs Predicted
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9University of Maryland-1.56+0.09vs Predicted
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10Washington College-0.80-2.25vs Predicted
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11William and Mary-2.43-0.87vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.5George Washington University1.220.2%1st Place
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4.39Christopher Newport University0.790.1%1st Place
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4.52Clemson University0.790.1%1st Place
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4.62St. Mary's College of Maryland0.750.1%1st Place
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4.46University of Vermont0.760.1%1st Place
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6.25SUNY Maritime College-0.020.1%1st Place
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5.14Connecticut College0.360.1%1st Place
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6.16North Carolina State University-0.050.1%1st Place
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9.09University of Maryland-1.560.0%1st Place
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7.75Washington College-0.800.0%1st Place
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10.13William and Mary-2.430.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arrieta Angueira Salbidegoitia | 19.4% | 19.6% | 16.5% | 13.2% | 12.2% | 10.5% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Grace Watlington | 13.9% | 13.0% | 13.7% | 13.3% | 14.4% | 9.6% | 9.0% | 7.3% | 4.8% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Nilah Miller | 12.8% | 12.1% | 13.5% | 12.7% | 12.3% | 12.7% | 11.2% | 7.9% | 4.0% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Cho-Cho Williams | 12.4% | 11.9% | 12.4% | 13.3% | 14.0% | 10.3% | 10.2% | 8.7% | 5.5% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Audrey Commerford | 14.6% | 13.9% | 12.1% | 12.3% | 10.7% | 12.0% | 10.6% | 8.3% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 0.0% |
| Isabelle Gautier | 5.3% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 10.5% | 13.3% | 16.1% | 14.3% | 7.0% | 2.2% |
| Lilly Saffer | 10.2% | 10.5% | 10.0% | 11.2% | 11.1% | 12.7% | 12.1% | 12.0% | 6.6% | 3.1% | 0.5% |
| Evelyn Hannah | 6.8% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 11.4% | 13.5% | 11.6% | 16.6% | 8.2% | 0.9% |
| Lara Nielsen | 1.2% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 8.8% | 12.4% | 36.8% | 25.9% |
| Imogene Nuss | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 9.6% | 12.3% | 24.5% | 21.1% | 7.1% |
| Alexa Bodor | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 4.0% | 6.9% | 18.8% | 63.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.