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📊 Prediction Accuracy
45.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Wisconsin1.14+4.38vs Predicted
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2Northwestern University1.27+3.06vs Predicted
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3Indiana University1.19+2.13vs Predicted
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4Marquette University-0.12+3.68vs Predicted
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5University of Chicago1.33-0.45vs Predicted
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6Purdue University0.92+0.01vs Predicted
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7University of Michigan1.12-1.98vs Predicted
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8University of Saint Thomas0.88-1.88vs Predicted
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9University of Notre Dame0.99-3.49vs Predicted
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10Michigan Technological University0.96-3.96vs Predicted
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11Grand Valley State University-0.85-1.49vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.38University of Wisconsin1.149.9%1st Place
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5.06Northwestern University1.2710.5%1st Place
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5.13Indiana University1.1912.2%1st Place
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7.68Marquette University-0.124.8%1st Place
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4.55University of Chicago1.3314.0%1st Place
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6.01Purdue University0.928.0%1st Place
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5.02University of Michigan1.1212.8%1st Place
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6.12University of Saint Thomas0.888.0%1st Place
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5.51University of Notre Dame0.9910.0%1st Place
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6.04Michigan Technological University0.968.2%1st Place
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9.51Grand Valley State University-0.851.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charlie Herrick | 9.9% | 10.8% | 10.9% | 10.3% | 9.8% | 10.4% | 10.4% | 10.2% | 8.6% | 6.4% | 2.3% |
| Jake Weinstein | 10.5% | 12.8% | 11.2% | 12.1% | 10.9% | 10.7% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 5.2% | 1.8% |
| Nithya Balachander | 12.2% | 11.6% | 10.8% | 10.6% | 10.0% | 10.1% | 9.7% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 5.3% | 1.7% |
| Jenna Kozal | 4.8% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 10.2% | 12.2% | 20.4% | 17.9% |
| Christian Ehrnrooth | 14.0% | 14.3% | 12.7% | 11.7% | 12.6% | 10.0% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 2.9% | 0.9% |
| Odey Hariri | 8.0% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 10.3% | 9.2% | 10.1% | 9.8% | 10.6% | 10.4% | 10.3% | 4.9% |
| Joe Serpa | 12.8% | 11.5% | 10.6% | 11.8% | 10.3% | 10.5% | 10.7% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 2.1% |
| Greg Bittle | 8.0% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 10.5% | 11.5% | 11.2% | 11.2% | 4.3% |
| Joseph Gallagher | 10.0% | 10.3% | 10.2% | 9.8% | 10.2% | 9.4% | 10.4% | 9.8% | 9.4% | 7.6% | 2.8% |
| Andrew Michels | 8.2% | 7.6% | 9.8% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 9.9% | 10.4% | 12.0% | 10.4% | 4.7% |
| Carly Irwin | 1.7% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 7.3% | 14.9% | 56.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.