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📊 Prediction Accuracy
81.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Christopher Newport University0.79+3.47vs Predicted
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2University of Vermont0.76+2.41vs Predicted
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3St. Mary's College of Maryland0.75+1.61vs Predicted
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4George Washington University1.22-0.42vs Predicted
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5Clemson University0.79-0.61vs Predicted
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6SUNY Maritime College-0.02+0.23vs Predicted
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7Connecticut College0.36-1.85vs Predicted
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8North Carolina State University-0.05-1.86vs Predicted
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9Washington College-0.80-1.16vs Predicted
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10University of Maryland-1.56-0.96vs Predicted
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11William and Mary-2.43-0.87vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.47Christopher Newport University0.790.1%1st Place
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4.41University of Vermont0.760.1%1st Place
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4.61St. Mary's College of Maryland0.750.1%1st Place
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3.58George Washington University1.220.2%1st Place
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4.39Clemson University0.790.2%1st Place
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6.23SUNY Maritime College-0.020.1%1st Place
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5.15Connecticut College0.360.1%1st Place
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6.14North Carolina State University-0.050.1%1st Place
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7.84Washington College-0.800.0%1st Place
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9.04University of Maryland-1.560.0%1st Place
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10.13William and Mary-2.430.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grace Watlington | 11.5% | 14.0% | 13.4% | 13.6% | 12.3% | 12.3% | 11.1% | 7.1% | 3.8% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Audrey Commerford | 13.7% | 13.5% | 13.8% | 12.3% | 13.4% | 11.0% | 9.2% | 7.4% | 4.2% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
| Cho-Cho Williams | 12.3% | 11.7% | 13.1% | 12.9% | 12.5% | 12.2% | 10.5% | 9.3% | 4.5% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Arrieta Angueira Salbidegoitia | 20.3% | 17.4% | 15.3% | 15.4% | 12.1% | 8.5% | 6.0% | 3.6% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Nilah Miller | 15.2% | 14.2% | 12.3% | 11.9% | 12.3% | 10.8% | 9.4% | 7.7% | 4.8% | 1.4% | 0.0% |
| Isabelle Gautier | 5.5% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 10.2% | 12.8% | 15.9% | 14.0% | 8.0% | 1.8% |
| Lilly Saffer | 10.5% | 9.7% | 11.2% | 10.4% | 11.1% | 12.3% | 12.5% | 11.7% | 6.6% | 3.8% | 0.2% |
| Evelyn Hannah | 6.5% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 9.1% | 11.1% | 12.8% | 13.0% | 15.1% | 8.3% | 1.0% |
| Imogene Nuss | 2.6% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 8.4% | 12.2% | 25.6% | 20.2% | 8.9% |
| Lara Nielsen | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 8.6% | 13.6% | 35.9% | 24.5% |
| Alexa Bodor | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 6.9% | 18.8% | 63.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.