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📊 Prediction Accuracy
63.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1St. Mary's College of Maryland0.75+3.69vs Predicted
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2University of Vermont0.76+2.56vs Predicted
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3Christopher Newport University0.79+1.64vs Predicted
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4Connecticut College0.87+0.47vs Predicted
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5Clemson University0.79-0.50vs Predicted
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6SUNY Maritime College-0.02+0.34vs Predicted
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7George Washington University1.22-3.53vs Predicted
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8North Carolina State University-0.05-1.75vs Predicted
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9University of Maryland-1.56+0.12vs Predicted
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10Washington College-0.80-2.18vs Predicted
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11William and Mary-2.43-0.86vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.69St. Mary's College of Maryland0.750.1%1st Place
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4.56University of Vermont0.760.1%1st Place
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4.64Christopher Newport University0.790.1%1st Place
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4.47Connecticut College0.870.1%1st Place
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4.5Clemson University0.790.1%1st Place
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6.34SUNY Maritime College-0.020.0%1st Place
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3.47George Washington University1.220.2%1st Place
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6.25North Carolina State University-0.050.1%1st Place
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9.12University of Maryland-1.560.0%1st Place
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7.82Washington College-0.800.0%1st Place
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10.14William and Mary-2.430.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cho-Cho Williams | 10.2% | 12.5% | 13.4% | 11.4% | 13.6% | 13.5% | 11.0% | 9.3% | 3.5% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| Audrey Commerford | 12.9% | 12.3% | 13.2% | 12.1% | 13.5% | 12.2% | 9.8% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 1.5% | 0.2% |
| Grace Watlington | 11.6% | 12.4% | 12.2% | 13.2% | 11.6% | 13.1% | 11.9% | 8.6% | 4.3% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Natalie Fear | 13.9% | 12.0% | 12.4% | 14.3% | 13.3% | 10.4% | 9.8% | 9.0% | 4.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Nilah Miller | 13.8% | 13.5% | 12.2% | 13.2% | 11.3% | 10.7% | 10.7% | 9.1% | 3.7% | 1.8% | 0.0% |
| Isabelle Gautier | 4.9% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 10.1% | 9.1% | 13.2% | 17.5% | 14.9% | 7.0% | 2.2% |
| Arrieta Angueira Salbidegoitia | 21.9% | 19.8% | 16.0% | 12.7% | 10.4% | 8.2% | 5.7% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Evelyn Hannah | 6.2% | 5.2% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 12.2% | 13.5% | 11.9% | 16.7% | 8.7% | 0.9% |
| Lara Nielsen | 1.2% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 7.4% | 13.4% | 37.6% | 25.8% |
| Imogene Nuss | 2.9% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 8.8% | 13.3% | 24.8% | 21.0% | 7.5% |
| Alexa Bodor | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 4.0% | 6.9% | 19.2% | 63.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.