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📊 Prediction Accuracy
72.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1St. Mary's College of Maryland0.75+3.68vs Predicted
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2George Washington University1.22+1.57vs Predicted
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3Christopher Newport University0.79+1.65vs Predicted
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4University of Vermont0.76+0.67vs Predicted
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5SUNY Maritime College-0.02+1.28vs Predicted
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6Connecticut College0.87-1.68vs Predicted
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7Clemson University0.79-2.65vs Predicted
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8Washington College-0.80-0.19vs Predicted
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9North Carolina State University-0.05-2.54vs Predicted
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10University of Maryland-1.56-0.92vs Predicted
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11William and Mary-2.43-0.86vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.68St. Mary's College of Maryland0.750.1%1st Place
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3.57George Washington University1.220.2%1st Place
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4.65Christopher Newport University0.790.1%1st Place
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4.67University of Vermont0.760.1%1st Place
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6.28SUNY Maritime College-0.020.1%1st Place
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4.32Connecticut College0.870.1%1st Place
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4.35Clemson University0.790.1%1st Place
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7.81Washington College-0.800.0%1st Place
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6.46North Carolina State University-0.050.1%1st Place
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9.08University of Maryland-1.560.0%1st Place
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10.14William and Mary-2.430.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cho-Cho Williams | 10.3% | 11.9% | 13.9% | 12.4% | 12.4% | 13.6% | 12.4% | 7.6% | 4.0% | 1.5% | 0.0% |
| Arrieta Angueira Salbidegoitia | 21.6% | 17.6% | 15.1% | 14.4% | 11.0% | 8.7% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 1.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Grace Watlington | 12.1% | 11.8% | 13.9% | 11.3% | 12.1% | 11.5% | 12.8% | 8.6% | 4.3% | 1.5% | 0.1% |
| Audrey Commerford | 11.6% | 11.5% | 12.8% | 12.2% | 14.5% | 12.4% | 10.4% | 7.8% | 5.3% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| Isabelle Gautier | 5.5% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 9.2% | 12.6% | 16.1% | 16.4% | 7.6% | 1.3% |
| Natalie Fear | 14.3% | 14.4% | 13.3% | 13.6% | 13.3% | 9.4% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 4.4% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Nilah Miller | 14.2% | 14.6% | 13.2% | 14.1% | 10.5% | 11.1% | 9.1% | 8.1% | 3.4% | 1.7% | 0.0% |
| Imogene Nuss | 3.2% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 9.5% | 14.0% | 22.1% | 22.7% | 6.9% |
| Evelyn Hannah | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 11.7% | 12.4% | 15.7% | 16.3% | 8.5% | 2.5% |
| Lara Nielsen | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 16.2% | 35.0% | 24.9% |
| Alexa Bodor | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 3.5% | 5.9% | 19.1% | 64.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.