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📊 Prediction Accuracy
45.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1North Carolina State University-0.05+5.42vs Predicted
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2Christopher Newport University0.79+2.33vs Predicted
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3SUNY Maritime College-0.02+3.38vs Predicted
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4St. Mary's College of Maryland0.75+0.65vs Predicted
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5Clemson University0.79-0.67vs Predicted
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6Connecticut College0.36-0.67vs Predicted
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7Washington College-0.80+0.64vs Predicted
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8University of Vermont0.76-3.70vs Predicted
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9George Washington University1.22-5.47vs Predicted
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10William and Mary-2.43+0.12vs Predicted
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11University of Maryland-1.56-2.02vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.42North Carolina State University-0.050.0%1st Place
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4.33Christopher Newport University0.790.1%1st Place
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6.38SUNY Maritime College-0.020.1%1st Place
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4.65St. Mary's College of Maryland0.750.1%1st Place
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4.33Clemson University0.790.1%1st Place
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5.33Connecticut College0.360.1%1st Place
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7.64Washington College-0.800.0%1st Place
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4.3University of Vermont0.760.1%1st Place
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3.53George Washington University1.220.2%1st Place
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10.12William and Mary-2.430.0%1st Place
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8.98University of Maryland-1.560.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Evelyn Hannah | 4.0% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 10.0% | 14.8% | 17.1% | 13.7% | 8.3% | 1.7% |
| Grace Watlington | 13.6% | 12.6% | 16.0% | 13.2% | 12.0% | 12.2% | 8.8% | 6.9% | 3.7% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Isabelle Gautier | 5.6% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 8.7% | 10.5% | 14.0% | 15.4% | 15.3% | 8.6% | 1.8% |
| Cho-Cho Williams | 12.4% | 11.9% | 10.4% | 14.0% | 14.6% | 12.3% | 9.5% | 8.2% | 4.9% | 1.5% | 0.3% |
| Nilah Miller | 15.0% | 12.9% | 14.8% | 12.0% | 12.3% | 11.6% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 3.9% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Lilly Saffer | 9.2% | 8.6% | 10.4% | 11.5% | 11.7% | 11.3% | 12.9% | 11.1% | 9.4% | 3.3% | 0.6% |
| Imogene Nuss | 4.2% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 12.7% | 21.8% | 22.5% | 7.1% |
| Audrey Commerford | 14.7% | 13.8% | 15.6% | 12.0% | 10.5% | 11.7% | 9.7% | 7.0% | 4.0% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Arrieta Angueira Salbidegoitia | 19.6% | 21.9% | 14.5% | 12.8% | 11.6% | 8.3% | 5.8% | 3.7% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Alexa Bodor | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 6.6% | 17.5% | 64.5% |
| Lara Nielsen | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 15.4% | 35.1% | 23.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.