← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
45.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Christopher Newport University0.79+3.45vs Predicted
-
2Clemson University0.79+2.29vs Predicted
-
3University of Vermont0.76+1.59vs Predicted
-
4Washington College-0.80+3.99vs Predicted
-
5George Washington University1.22-1.53vs Predicted
-
6SUNY Maritime College-0.02+0.19vs Predicted
-
7North Carolina State University-0.05-0.89vs Predicted
-
8Connecticut College0.36-2.79vs Predicted
-
9St. Mary's College of Maryland0.75-4.41vs Predicted
-
10William and Mary-2.43+0.12vs Predicted
-
11University of Maryland-1.56-2.02vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
4.45Christopher Newport University0.790.1%1st Place
-
4.29Clemson University0.790.1%1st Place
-
4.59University of Vermont0.760.1%1st Place
-
7.99Washington College-0.800.0%1st Place
-
3.47George Washington University1.220.2%1st Place
-
6.19SUNY Maritime College-0.020.1%1st Place
-
6.11North Carolina State University-0.050.1%1st Place
-
5.21Connecticut College0.360.1%1st Place
-
4.59St. Mary's College of Maryland0.750.1%1st Place
-
10.12William and Mary-2.430.0%1st Place
-
8.98University of Maryland-1.560.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grace Watlington | 11.9% | 14.0% | 14.3% | 11.1% | 13.4% | 12.9% | 11.1% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Nilah Miller | 14.2% | 13.8% | 13.7% | 13.5% | 13.5% | 10.8% | 9.4% | 6.9% | 3.2% | 0.5% | 0.5% |
| Audrey Commerford | 12.9% | 11.3% | 12.8% | 13.6% | 11.4% | 12.9% | 11.5% | 8.3% | 3.6% | 1.7% | 0.0% |
| Imogene Nuss | 2.1% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 12.7% | 23.4% | 23.3% | 9.6% |
| Arrieta Angueira Salbidegoitia | 23.2% | 17.6% | 16.5% | 13.2% | 10.3% | 8.3% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Isabelle Gautier | 5.7% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 8.9% | 14.4% | 14.2% | 15.1% | 7.7% | 1.4% |
| Evelyn Hannah | 6.8% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 9.9% | 10.6% | 12.1% | 16.6% | 12.7% | 7.8% | 1.2% |
| Lilly Saffer | 9.6% | 9.2% | 11.6% | 11.6% | 10.1% | 13.1% | 11.5% | 11.0% | 9.6% | 2.2% | 0.5% |
| Cho-Cho Williams | 11.8% | 13.1% | 12.8% | 13.6% | 12.9% | 10.6% | 10.6% | 7.9% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 0.1% |
| Alexa Bodor | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 4.0% | 7.5% | 18.3% | 63.0% |
| Lara Nielsen | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 7.9% | 15.1% | 34.8% | 23.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.