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📊 Prediction Accuracy
63.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Connecticut College0.87+3.37vs Predicted
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2St. Mary's College of Maryland0.75+2.56vs Predicted
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3University of Vermont0.76+1.73vs Predicted
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4Clemson University0.79+0.61vs Predicted
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5Christopher Newport University0.79-0.52vs Predicted
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6George Washington University1.22-2.39vs Predicted
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7Washington College-0.80+0.77vs Predicted
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8SUNY Maritime College-0.02-1.78vs Predicted
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9North Carolina State University-0.05-2.56vs Predicted
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10William and Mary-2.43+0.12vs Predicted
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11University of Maryland-1.56-1.91vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.37Connecticut College0.870.1%1st Place
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4.56St. Mary's College of Maryland0.750.1%1st Place
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4.73University of Vermont0.760.1%1st Place
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4.61Clemson University0.790.1%1st Place
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4.48Christopher Newport University0.790.1%1st Place
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3.61George Washington University1.220.2%1st Place
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7.77Washington College-0.800.0%1st Place
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6.22SUNY Maritime College-0.020.1%1st Place
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6.44North Carolina State University-0.050.1%1st Place
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10.12William and Mary-2.430.0%1st Place
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9.09University of Maryland-1.560.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Natalie Fear | 12.5% | 14.1% | 12.2% | 14.4% | 15.2% | 10.8% | 10.3% | 6.2% | 3.0% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| Cho-Cho Williams | 12.7% | 13.4% | 13.0% | 12.4% | 11.8% | 11.4% | 10.1% | 8.9% | 4.9% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
| Audrey Commerford | 11.7% | 11.3% | 13.3% | 11.5% | 11.5% | 13.8% | 10.9% | 9.2% | 5.3% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
| Nilah Miller | 12.2% | 11.4% | 13.7% | 13.1% | 13.0% | 11.5% | 11.1% | 7.7% | 4.5% | 1.6% | 0.2% |
| Grace Watlington | 14.4% | 13.1% | 12.8% | 11.7% | 11.7% | 11.9% | 10.0% | 8.5% | 4.4% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
| Arrieta Angueira Salbidegoitia | 20.0% | 18.7% | 16.0% | 14.2% | 9.7% | 8.5% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 1.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Imogene Nuss | 3.6% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 13.3% | 22.5% | 23.3% | 7.3% |
| Isabelle Gautier | 5.5% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 11.4% | 11.8% | 14.6% | 16.0% | 6.9% | 1.7% |
| Evelyn Hannah | 5.5% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 13.8% | 16.9% | 16.2% | 7.8% | 2.2% |
| Alexa Bodor | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 6.6% | 18.0% | 64.0% |
| Lara Nielsen | 1.4% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 14.8% | 36.7% | 24.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.