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📊 Prediction Accuracy
63.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Christopher Newport University0.37+4.08vs Predicted
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2University of Vermont0.57+2.53vs Predicted
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3St. Mary's College of Maryland0.97+0.83vs Predicted
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4George Washington University0.23+1.47vs Predicted
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5Connecticut College0.92-1.20vs Predicted
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6SUNY Maritime College-0.37+0.68vs Predicted
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7North Carolina State University0.28-2.02vs Predicted
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8William and Mary-0.40-1.42vs Predicted
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9Clemson University0.29-3.70vs Predicted
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10University of Maryland-2.31-0.21vs Predicted
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11Washington College-2.49-1.04vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.08Christopher Newport University0.370.1%1st Place
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4.53University of Vermont0.570.1%1st Place
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3.83St. Mary's College of Maryland0.970.2%1st Place
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5.47George Washington University0.230.1%1st Place
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3.8Connecticut College0.920.2%1st Place
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6.68SUNY Maritime College-0.370.1%1st Place
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4.98North Carolina State University0.280.1%1st Place
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6.58William and Mary-0.400.1%1st Place
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5.3Clemson University0.290.1%1st Place
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9.79University of Maryland-2.310.0%1st Place
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9.96Washington College-2.490.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Laura Smith | 9.0% | 10.7% | 10.9% | 11.4% | 12.4% | 13.3% | 13.2% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 2.4% | 0.1% |
| Caitlin Derby | 12.9% | 13.4% | 13.3% | 12.4% | 12.0% | 10.8% | 10.4% | 8.5% | 5.1% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Lina Carper | 17.5% | 16.1% | 17.1% | 13.4% | 12.2% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 5.0% | 2.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Hayden Clary | 8.8% | 9.7% | 8.4% | 9.1% | 11.1% | 13.7% | 13.4% | 11.5% | 9.8% | 4.1% | 0.4% |
| Izzy Wu-Karr | 20.3% | 15.8% | 15.5% | 13.2% | 10.6% | 9.0% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Nicole Ostapowicz | 5.1% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 10.3% | 15.4% | 21.7% | 10.0% | 2.3% |
| Lyla Solway | 10.9% | 11.5% | 10.9% | 12.3% | 11.8% | 10.2% | 11.3% | 9.9% | 8.2% | 2.7% | 0.3% |
| Charlotte Stillman | 5.7% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 10.9% | 10.6% | 14.7% | 19.1% | 10.3% | 1.9% |
| Ashton Loring | 8.4% | 11.0% | 10.1% | 11.1% | 11.6% | 11.0% | 11.5% | 12.8% | 8.4% | 3.2% | 0.9% |
| Emma Retzlaff | 0.7% | 0.2% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 4.8% | 7.8% | 33.6% | 44.1% |
| Rachel Morgen | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 3.4% | 6.9% | 31.9% | 49.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.