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📊 Prediction Accuracy

63.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Laura Smith 9.0% 10.7% 10.9% 11.4% 12.4% 13.3% 13.2% 9.0% 7.6% 2.4% 0.1%
Caitlin Derby 12.9% 13.4% 13.3% 12.4% 12.0% 10.8% 10.4% 8.5% 5.1% 1.2% 0.0%
Lina Carper 17.5% 16.1% 17.1% 13.4% 12.2% 8.6% 7.8% 5.0% 2.0% 0.2% 0.1%
Hayden Clary 8.8% 9.7% 8.4% 9.1% 11.1% 13.7% 13.4% 11.5% 9.8% 4.1% 0.4%
Izzy Wu-Karr 20.3% 15.8% 15.5% 13.2% 10.6% 9.0% 6.8% 5.0% 3.4% 0.4% 0.0%
Nicole Ostapowicz 5.1% 6.3% 6.2% 6.2% 8.3% 8.2% 10.3% 15.4% 21.7% 10.0% 2.3%
Lyla Solway 10.9% 11.5% 10.9% 12.3% 11.8% 10.2% 11.3% 9.9% 8.2% 2.7% 0.3%
Charlotte Stillman 5.7% 4.8% 5.7% 8.6% 7.7% 10.9% 10.6% 14.7% 19.1% 10.3% 1.9%
Ashton Loring 8.4% 11.0% 10.1% 11.1% 11.6% 11.0% 11.5% 12.8% 8.4% 3.2% 0.9%
Emma Retzlaff 0.7% 0.2% 1.1% 1.5% 1.4% 1.8% 3.0% 4.8% 7.8% 33.6% 44.1%
Rachel Morgen 0.7% 0.5% 0.8% 0.8% 0.9% 2.5% 1.7% 3.4% 6.9% 31.9% 49.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.