Race 2B

cnu-women

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

54.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Lina Carper 17.9% 17.6% 15.2% 12.8% 12.6% 11.1% 7.0% 3.4% 2.1% 0.3% 0.0%
Caitlin Derby 12.2% 14.1% 13.5% 11.5% 13.4% 11.2% 8.6% 8.4% 5.6% 1.3% 0.2%
Laura Smith 10.5% 8.6% 11.4% 12.0% 10.4% 12.0% 12.2% 11.6% 8.3% 2.5% 0.5%
Izzy Wu-Karr 17.0% 16.6% 14.1% 14.5% 11.9% 10.0% 8.2% 4.5% 2.5% 0.6% 0.1%
Lyla Solway 11.1% 8.9% 12.5% 9.1% 10.2% 10.3% 12.9% 12.2% 9.9% 2.6% 0.3%
Nicole Ostapowicz 4.1% 6.2% 6.5% 6.2% 7.3% 9.6% 11.7% 15.3% 20.1% 10.6% 2.4%
Ashton Loring 11.4% 10.2% 10.0% 11.2% 12.7% 11.5% 11.5% 11.1% 7.7% 2.6% 0.1%
Hayden Clary 9.5% 10.5% 9.5% 12.3% 10.3% 12.1% 11.3% 10.8% 10.8% 2.3% 0.6%
Rachel Morgen 0.7% 0.9% 0.6% 0.8% 1.3% 1.1% 2.3% 3.3% 6.1% 30.0% 52.9%
Emma Retzlaff 0.6% 0.6% 1.1% 1.5% 1.8% 2.0% 2.5% 3.9% 6.9% 38.1% 41.0%
Charlotte Stillman 5.0% 5.8% 5.6% 8.1% 8.1% 9.1% 11.8% 15.5% 20.0% 9.1% 1.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.