Race 3B

cnu-women

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

45.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Lina Carper 18.4% 16.5% 16.8% 12.7% 12.3% 11.1% 6.9% 3.5% 1.4% 0.4% 0.0%
Caitlin Derby 12.8% 13.2% 14.2% 12.3% 11.3% 12.3% 11.1% 7.0% 4.7% 1.1% 0.0%
Laura Smith 10.4% 9.3% 10.8% 12.1% 11.3% 11.7% 12.7% 10.9% 8.9% 1.7% 0.2%
Lyla Solway 8.5% 9.5% 9.4% 11.3% 11.6% 12.8% 11.6% 13.1% 8.9% 3.1% 0.2%
Hayden Clary 10.2% 10.7% 8.8% 10.9% 11.1% 11.1% 12.6% 12.3% 9.7% 2.6% 0.0%
Izzy Wu-Karr 17.8% 17.9% 14.9% 14.7% 11.5% 7.6% 6.9% 5.3% 2.9% 0.5% 0.0%
Nicole Ostapowicz 6.0% 5.5% 7.2% 6.5% 7.3% 12.3% 11.3% 15.3% 20.3% 7.7% 0.6%
Ashton Loring 10.1% 9.9% 12.1% 11.3% 13.2% 11.0% 10.6% 10.6% 9.5% 1.7% 0.0%
Charlotte Stillman 4.7% 6.5% 4.8% 6.7% 8.2% 7.6% 13.0% 15.8% 21.9% 8.8% 2.0%
Emma Retzlaff 0.6% 1.0% 0.8% 1.2% 2.0% 2.2% 2.2% 4.2% 9.3% 54.6% 21.9%
Nora Beebe 0.5% 0.0% 0.2% 0.3% 0.2% 0.3% 1.1% 2.0% 2.5% 17.8% 75.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.