Race 4B

cnu-women

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

45.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Izzy Wu-Karr 16.3% 17.1% 15.8% 13.6% 14.1% 10.3% 7.7% 3.7% 1.1% 0.3% 0.0%
Laura Smith 11.1% 11.6% 9.9% 12.7% 11.6% 13.0% 11.2% 9.0% 7.8% 1.9% 0.2%
Hayden Clary 8.9% 8.3% 9.9% 9.6% 12.0% 10.8% 14.6% 13.2% 10.2% 2.4% 0.1%
Lyla Solway 8.6% 8.9% 9.8% 10.4% 12.2% 13.2% 13.3% 12.0% 8.6% 2.8% 0.2%
Charlotte Stillman 5.4% 4.9% 6.0% 6.7% 8.0% 9.8% 11.3% 14.5% 23.8% 8.6% 1.0%
Nicole Ostapowicz 4.8% 5.3% 7.2% 6.6% 8.3% 9.3% 10.3% 17.3% 21.9% 8.3% 0.7%
Lina Carper 22.2% 18.8% 15.2% 12.5% 10.5% 9.5% 5.9% 3.2% 1.9% 0.3% 0.0%
Caitlin Derby 13.7% 13.8% 14.1% 14.5% 10.9% 9.7% 9.0% 9.0% 4.4% 0.9% 0.0%
Ashton Loring 7.9% 10.9% 10.5% 12.1% 10.6% 11.7% 12.7% 11.5% 9.3% 2.5% 0.3%
Emma Retzlaff 0.6% 0.4% 1.3% 1.0% 1.7% 2.2% 3.1% 5.1% 7.5% 54.7% 22.4%
Nora Beebe 0.5% 0.0% 0.3% 0.3% 0.1% 0.5% 0.9% 1.5% 3.5% 17.3% 75.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.