Race 10A

mcsa-open-fleet-race-qualifier

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

36.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Christian Ehrnrooth 13.1% 14.8% 13.0% 12.7% 10.7% 10.3% 8.7% 7.5% 5.5% 2.7% 0.9%
Jake Weinstein 12.3% 10.8% 10.6% 10.8% 10.9% 9.7% 10.0% 9.4% 8.2% 5.1% 2.0%
Nithya Balachander 12.8% 11.2% 11.5% 10.7% 9.6% 10.4% 10.2% 9.3% 7.4% 5.3% 1.8%
Odey Hariri 8.0% 7.6% 8.2% 8.8% 10.2% 10.4% 9.7% 10.4% 11.5% 10.7% 4.5%
Greg Bittle 8.3% 9.2% 8.6% 9.1% 9.5% 9.9% 10.0% 10.4% 10.7% 9.9% 4.3%
Joe Serpa 12.1% 11.7% 12.1% 10.8% 11.5% 9.7% 10.0% 8.4% 7.2% 4.9% 1.7%
Charlie Herrick 10.0% 9.8% 10.2% 10.3% 10.8% 10.8% 10.7% 10.2% 9.8% 5.5% 2.1%
Joseph Gallagher 10.1% 9.8% 10.4% 10.2% 10.5% 9.8% 9.6% 10.5% 8.9% 6.8% 3.4%
Andrew Michels 7.4% 8.8% 8.6% 9.1% 9.6% 9.2% 10.9% 9.7% 11.5% 10.6% 4.6%
Jenna Kozal 4.2% 4.2% 4.7% 5.0% 4.9% 7.0% 6.9% 8.2% 12.6% 22.2% 20.2%
Carly Irwin 1.8% 2.0% 2.1% 2.4% 1.8% 2.9% 3.5% 6.0% 6.8% 16.4% 54.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.