Race 5B

cnu-women

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

63.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Izzy Wu-Karr 15.8% 18.0% 14.5% 14.4% 14.0% 10.0% 6.6% 4.1% 2.0% 0.6% 0.0%
Lina Carper 21.6% 16.3% 15.9% 13.2% 11.6% 8.9% 6.1% 4.3% 1.7% 0.3% 0.1%
Charlotte Stillman 4.7% 4.7% 6.1% 5.2% 7.8% 9.8% 10.1% 15.3% 20.5% 12.6% 3.2%
Hayden Clary 7.8% 9.2% 8.7% 10.4% 11.0% 13.5% 12.6% 12.9% 9.1% 4.2% 0.6%
Laura Smith 11.3% 10.8% 10.7% 12.0% 10.8% 11.6% 11.1% 11.1% 7.0% 3.3% 0.3%
Lyla Solway 9.2% 10.5% 11.6% 9.6% 11.6% 12.3% 11.3% 11.2% 8.6% 4.0% 0.1%
Nicole Ostapowicz 5.3% 6.3% 5.6% 8.0% 7.8% 9.5% 13.6% 12.5% 19.6% 9.9% 1.9%
Caitlin Derby 14.1% 13.0% 14.2% 13.1% 10.8% 9.6% 11.0% 7.7% 5.0% 1.3% 0.2%
Ashton Loring 9.1% 9.7% 10.5% 11.5% 10.1% 11.8% 11.7% 12.4% 8.9% 3.1% 1.2%
Emma Retzlaff 0.4% 0.7% 1.0% 1.3% 2.1% 1.5% 2.5% 4.0% 7.5% 27.0% 52.0%
Nora Ciak 0.7% 0.8% 1.2% 1.3% 2.4% 1.5% 3.4% 4.5% 10.1% 33.7% 40.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.