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📊 Prediction Accuracy

63.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Lina Carper 17.2% 17.2% 17.7% 12.7% 12.1% 10.2% 7.1% 4.0% 1.5% 0.3% 0.0%
Nicole Ostapowicz 5.7% 3.9% 6.1% 7.5% 8.5% 6.7% 13.4% 14.8% 19.8% 10.8% 2.8%
Laura Smith 10.3% 8.8% 12.4% 10.4% 11.1% 9.9% 14.9% 10.4% 8.6% 3.1% 0.1%
Izzy Wu-Karr 17.0% 16.4% 15.4% 14.4% 11.0% 11.5% 6.6% 4.5% 2.6% 0.5% 0.1%
Caitlin Derby 14.5% 13.0% 11.9% 11.5% 12.4% 10.2% 9.4% 8.6% 6.5% 1.9% 0.1%
Lyla Solway 9.4% 11.5% 9.3% 11.1% 11.2% 12.8% 10.8% 10.0% 9.5% 3.8% 0.6%
Hayden Clary 10.5% 11.0% 9.5% 10.9% 12.3% 12.3% 9.9% 11.7% 8.6% 3.0% 0.3%
Charlotte Stillman 5.8% 5.1% 5.4% 8.1% 7.2% 10.5% 10.8% 15.0% 17.5% 12.6% 2.0%
Ashton Loring 8.2% 11.6% 10.3% 10.7% 10.3% 11.7% 11.5% 11.5% 10.0% 3.1% 1.1%
Nora Ciak 0.5% 0.9% 1.2% 1.9% 1.7% 2.3% 2.7% 5.5% 7.8% 30.5% 45.0%
Emma Retzlaff 0.9% 0.6% 0.8% 0.8% 2.2% 1.9% 2.9% 4.0% 7.6% 30.4% 47.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.