Race 7B

cnu-women

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

72.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Lina Carper 17.6% 17.4% 17.2% 12.1% 11.3% 12.1% 6.8% 3.0% 2.0% 0.5% 0.0%
Caitlin Derby 12.9% 12.7% 13.0% 15.2% 11.0% 9.7% 9.3% 9.3% 5.3% 1.5% 0.1%
Izzy Wu-Karr 17.0% 15.7% 16.1% 12.7% 12.2% 9.6% 8.6% 5.2% 2.3% 0.5% 0.1%
Laura Smith 10.2% 10.0% 9.8% 10.0% 13.3% 12.7% 12.0% 10.2% 7.9% 3.6% 0.3%
Lyla Solway 11.2% 9.7% 10.0% 10.3% 11.2% 12.2% 10.6% 11.2% 9.9% 3.2% 0.5%
Nicole Ostapowicz 4.9% 5.7% 7.3% 5.5% 7.3% 8.4% 11.2% 15.9% 20.1% 10.4% 3.3%
Hayden Clary 10.7% 11.6% 9.0% 11.8% 11.6% 11.3% 10.9% 10.9% 8.5% 3.3% 0.4%
Charlotte Stillman 5.9% 5.0% 5.2% 8.3% 7.7% 9.6% 11.9% 14.5% 17.6% 12.0% 2.3%
Ashton Loring 8.4% 10.9% 9.8% 11.3% 10.9% 10.5% 13.2% 10.5% 10.3% 3.4% 0.8%
Nora Ciak 0.5% 0.6% 1.5% 1.9% 1.5% 2.2% 2.7% 5.4% 8.8% 30.5% 44.4%
Emma Retzlaff 0.7% 0.7% 1.1% 0.9% 2.0% 1.7% 2.8% 3.9% 7.3% 31.1% 47.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.