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📊 Prediction Accuracy

63.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Lina Carper 16.6% 18.2% 16.3% 12.8% 13.4% 10.9% 6.1% 3.7% 1.6% 0.4% 0.0%
Izzy Wu-Karr 19.3% 16.5% 15.9% 13.7% 11.5% 8.2% 6.5% 5.9% 2.1% 0.3% 0.1%
Lyla Solway 9.2% 8.4% 9.7% 12.4% 9.8% 11.4% 13.0% 13.3% 9.2% 3.4% 0.2%
Hayden Clary 8.5% 9.0% 9.1% 9.4% 11.1% 13.6% 12.7% 11.8% 9.7% 4.5% 0.6%
Ashton Loring 10.4% 9.8% 11.0% 10.0% 11.5% 12.1% 12.1% 10.0% 8.8% 4.0% 0.3%
Laura Smith 10.2% 12.0% 9.9% 12.3% 12.1% 11.2% 9.3% 12.2% 7.5% 2.9% 0.4%
Caitlin Derby 13.9% 14.6% 13.3% 12.5% 12.0% 10.1% 9.8% 7.1% 5.0% 1.5% 0.2%
Charlotte Stillman 5.7% 4.5% 6.7% 7.7% 8.0% 10.7% 10.8% 13.7% 18.8% 11.5% 1.9%
Nicole Ostapowicz 4.8% 5.6% 5.9% 6.3% 7.3% 7.7% 14.3% 14.0% 19.8% 10.3% 4.0%
Nora Ciak 0.6% 0.7% 1.4% 1.8% 1.6% 1.8% 3.2% 4.5% 9.5% 30.7% 44.2%
Emma Retzlaff 0.8% 0.7% 0.8% 1.1% 1.7% 2.3% 2.2% 3.8% 8.0% 30.5% 48.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.