Race 9B

cnu-women

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

36.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Nicole Ostapowicz 3.5% 5.0% 7.1% 8.7% 8.3% 9.2% 16.9% 24.4% 12.7% 4.1% 0.1%
Ashton Loring 9.7% 10.2% 12.6% 10.7% 13.2% 15.7% 11.7% 11.3% 3.9% 1.0% 0.0%
Lyla Solway 9.7% 8.9% 10.6% 12.5% 13.1% 12.8% 14.0% 12.9% 5.1% 0.4% 0.0%
Laura Smith 10.5% 9.3% 10.7% 13.6% 13.3% 14.5% 12.4% 11.5% 3.4% 0.7% 0.1%
Caitlin Derby 13.9% 14.6% 13.1% 13.0% 12.8% 12.1% 10.5% 7.0% 2.8% 0.2% 0.0%
Lina Carper 18.9% 20.3% 15.3% 15.3% 10.0% 8.4% 6.7% 4.1% 1.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Hayden Clary 10.7% 10.5% 12.5% 11.3% 13.3% 11.7% 13.9% 11.1% 4.1% 0.9% 0.0%
Izzy Wu-Karr 21.2% 19.4% 15.9% 11.9% 11.9% 9.7% 6.6% 2.7% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0%
Emma Retzlaff 0.9% 1.0% 1.0% 1.1% 2.0% 2.7% 2.7% 4.7% 27.9% 41.4% 14.6%
Kinsey Gore 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.3% 0.2% 0.2% 0.7% 1.2% 5.4% 15.0% 76.6%
Nora Ciak 0.8% 0.7% 1.1% 1.6% 1.9% 3.0% 3.9% 9.1% 33.2% 36.1% 8.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.