Race 10B

cnu-women

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

45.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Lina Carper 18.2% 18.0% 15.8% 13.7% 14.4% 9.2% 7.1% 2.8% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
Caitlin Derby 12.9% 14.8% 12.3% 12.9% 15.0% 11.8% 9.8% 8.3% 1.9% 0.3% 0.0%
Emma Retzlaff 1.2% 0.6% 1.0% 1.1% 1.2% 1.7% 2.7% 6.7% 26.7% 44.3% 12.8%
Izzy Wu-Karr 17.7% 16.0% 16.8% 15.2% 10.5% 11.0% 7.1% 4.0% 1.7% 0.0% 0.0%
Lyla Solway 10.8% 10.4% 11.1% 10.4% 11.9% 12.8% 13.7% 13.7% 4.2% 1.0% 0.0%
Laura Smith 10.9% 11.1% 12.4% 12.7% 12.1% 12.6% 13.4% 10.4% 3.3% 1.1% 0.0%
Ashton Loring 12.0% 10.0% 11.1% 12.4% 12.9% 14.0% 13.4% 10.1% 3.7% 0.4% 0.0%
Hayden Clary 9.6% 11.0% 11.7% 11.7% 11.5% 13.3% 13.2% 13.6% 3.5% 0.9% 0.0%
Nora Ciak 1.0% 1.0% 1.4% 1.9% 1.1% 2.5% 3.8% 6.9% 34.7% 35.0% 10.7%
Nicole Ostapowicz 5.4% 7.0% 6.1% 7.9% 9.3% 10.9% 15.3% 22.2% 13.6% 2.2% 0.1%
Kinsey Gore 0.3% 0.1% 0.3% 0.1% 0.1% 0.2% 0.5% 1.3% 6.0% 14.7% 76.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.