Race 11B

cnu-women

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

45.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Laura Smith 8.7% 11.2% 11.1% 12.1% 15.5% 15.0% 13.4% 9.8% 2.9% 0.2% 0.1%
Lina Carper 21.4% 18.7% 16.2% 12.1% 13.3% 8.8% 6.0% 2.8% 0.7% 0.0% 0.0%
Nicole Ostapowicz 4.9% 5.3% 5.9% 7.3% 7.9% 11.3% 14.4% 25.2% 14.1% 3.6% 0.1%
Nora Ciak 0.7% 0.8% 0.9% 1.5% 2.5% 2.4% 2.8% 7.2% 30.1% 40.5% 10.6%
Lyla Solway 11.2% 8.4% 11.4% 12.8% 12.0% 12.9% 13.3% 12.4% 5.0% 0.6% 0.0%
Hayden Clary 9.4% 11.2% 10.4% 10.9% 11.6% 13.8% 14.7% 12.7% 4.1% 1.1% 0.1%
Emma Retzlaff 0.8% 1.1% 2.1% 1.6% 2.1% 1.9% 3.8% 6.7% 29.2% 39.5% 11.2%
Caitlin Derby 14.4% 13.1% 15.7% 13.5% 11.6% 11.9% 10.3% 7.0% 1.8% 0.7% 0.0%
Izzy Wu-Karr 16.6% 19.0% 15.9% 14.4% 12.3% 10.0% 7.0% 3.2% 1.6% 0.0% 0.0%
Ashton Loring 11.8% 10.9% 10.3% 13.6% 10.9% 11.9% 13.9% 12.1% 3.9% 0.7% 0.0%
Kinsey Gore 0.1% 0.3% 0.1% 0.2% 0.3% 0.1% 0.4% 0.9% 6.6% 13.1% 77.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.