← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

55.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Colby Vavolotis 24.9% 20.7% 16.4% 13.8% 9.9% 6.6% 5.5% 1.8% 0.4%
John Duncan 8.7% 12.7% 12.8% 11.5% 12.9% 13.0% 13.2% 10.1% 5.1%
Cameron Barclift 15.6% 14.3% 14.8% 14.3% 12.6% 9.9% 10.0% 6.8% 1.7%
Warren (Trace) Smith 13.3% 13.4% 13.0% 13.5% 13.8% 11.4% 10.2% 7.9% 3.5%
Timothy Lorenzen 6.9% 8.7% 9.3% 9.5% 10.7% 10.5% 13.5% 16.4% 14.5%
Hollister Poole 11.7% 12.5% 11.5% 13.1% 13.5% 13.7% 11.5% 8.4% 4.1%
Connor Bair-Cucchiaro 3.5% 3.3% 2.8% 4.6% 6.2% 8.2% 9.6% 17.6% 44.2%
Jeffrey Chace 8.7% 7.0% 10.7% 10.2% 11.4% 12.6% 12.3% 14.2% 12.9%
Jack Kerby-Miller 6.7% 7.4% 8.7% 9.5% 9.0% 14.1% 14.2% 16.8% 13.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.