← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Vermont2.78+2.16vs Predicted
-
2University of Vermont2.03+2.80vs Predicted
-
3Tufts University2.31+1.08vs Predicted
-
4Dartmouth College2.10+0.37vs Predicted
-
5Williams College1.47+0.63vs Predicted
-
6Maine Maritime Academy2.03-1.42vs Predicted
-
7Bates College0.74+0.23vs Predicted
-
8University of Vermont1.64-2.56vs Predicted
-
9Middlebury College1.50-3.29vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.16University of Vermont2.780.2%1st Place
-
4.8University of Vermont2.030.1%1st Place
-
4.08Tufts University2.310.2%1st Place
-
4.37Dartmouth College2.100.1%1st Place
-
5.63Williams College1.470.1%1st Place
-
4.58Maine Maritime Academy2.030.1%1st Place
-
7.23Bates College0.740.0%1st Place
-
5.44University of Vermont1.640.1%1st Place
-
5.71Middlebury College1.500.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colby Vavolotis | 24.9% | 20.7% | 16.4% | 13.8% | 9.9% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 1.8% | 0.4% |
| John Duncan | 8.7% | 12.7% | 12.8% | 11.5% | 12.9% | 13.0% | 13.2% | 10.1% | 5.1% |
| Cameron Barclift | 15.6% | 14.3% | 14.8% | 14.3% | 12.6% | 9.9% | 10.0% | 6.8% | 1.7% |
| Warren (Trace) Smith | 13.3% | 13.4% | 13.0% | 13.5% | 13.8% | 11.4% | 10.2% | 7.9% | 3.5% |
| Timothy Lorenzen | 6.9% | 8.7% | 9.3% | 9.5% | 10.7% | 10.5% | 13.5% | 16.4% | 14.5% |
| Hollister Poole | 11.7% | 12.5% | 11.5% | 13.1% | 13.5% | 13.7% | 11.5% | 8.4% | 4.1% |
| Connor Bair-Cucchiaro | 3.5% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 9.6% | 17.6% | 44.2% |
| Jeffrey Chace | 8.7% | 7.0% | 10.7% | 10.2% | 11.4% | 12.6% | 12.3% | 14.2% | 12.9% |
| Jack Kerby-Miller | 6.7% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 9.5% | 9.0% | 14.1% | 14.2% | 16.8% | 13.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.