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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.8
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1North Carolina State University1.54+0.67vs Predicted
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2Jacksonville University0.18+1.23vs Predicted
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3University of North Carolina-0.60+1.10vs Predicted
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4Jacksonville University0.44-1.29vs Predicted
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5Clemson University-0.97-0.51vs Predicted
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6University of South Carolina-2.60+0.65vs Predicted
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7University of Tennessee-2.51-0.40vs Predicted
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8University of North Carolina at Wilmington-2.87-1.01vs Predicted
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9University of Tennessee-4.67-0.42vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.67North Carolina State University1.540.6%1st Place
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3.23Jacksonville University0.180.1%1st Place
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4.1University of North Carolina-0.600.1%1st Place
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2.71Jacksonville University0.440.2%1st Place
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4.49Clemson University-0.970.0%1st Place
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6.65University of South Carolina-2.600.0%1st Place
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6.6University of Tennessee-2.510.0%1st Place
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6.99University of North Carolina at Wilmington-2.870.0%1st Place
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8.58University of Tennessee-4.670.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jacob Usher | 56.3% | 26.8% | 12.2% | 3.6% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mason Mattice | 10.8% | 21.9% | 25.7% | 23.2% | 13.3% | 4.0% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| May Proctor | 6.1% | 10.9% | 15.9% | 22.7% | 27.4% | 13.3% | 3.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Joe Seiffert | 20.4% | 27.9% | 24.5% | 17.2% | 7.9% | 1.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Laufer | 4.1% | 8.2% | 14.8% | 19.5% | 27.1% | 16.3% | 7.5% | 2.3% | 0.2% |
| Sam Lookadoo | 0.5% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 4.6% | 8.3% | 20.4% | 30.3% | 27.0% | 4.8% |
| Kyle Shrewsbury | 0.9% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 4.7% | 8.4% | 25.1% | 27.2% | 25.3% | 5.1% |
| Cade Boguslaw | 0.8% | 0.9% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 5.8% | 16.4% | 25.3% | 34.5% | 10.6% |
| Mikala Krag | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 2.4% | 5.4% | 10.3% | 79.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.