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📊 Prediction Accuracy
77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1North Carolina State University1.54+0.65vs Predicted
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2Jacksonville University0.18+1.19vs Predicted
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3Jacksonville University0.44-0.20vs Predicted
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4University of North Carolina at Wilmington-2.87+2.92vs Predicted
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5University of North Carolina-0.60-1.00vs Predicted
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6University of Tennessee-2.51+0.56vs Predicted
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7Clemson University-0.97-2.39vs Predicted
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8University of South Carolina-2.60-1.32vs Predicted
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9University of Tennessee-4.67-0.41vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.65North Carolina State University1.540.6%1st Place
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3.19Jacksonville University0.180.1%1st Place
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2.8Jacksonville University0.440.2%1st Place
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6.92University of North Carolina at Wilmington-2.870.0%1st Place
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4.0University of North Carolina-0.600.1%1st Place
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6.56University of Tennessee-2.510.0%1st Place
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4.61Clemson University-0.970.0%1st Place
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6.68University of South Carolina-2.600.0%1st Place
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8.59University of Tennessee-4.670.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jacob Usher | 57.0% | 27.2% | 10.5% | 4.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mason Mattice | 11.6% | 20.3% | 28.7% | 22.8% | 11.5% | 3.4% | 1.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Joe Seiffert | 17.9% | 27.8% | 25.7% | 16.8% | 9.1% | 2.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cade Boguslaw | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 3.4% | 7.1% | 18.4% | 24.9% | 33.9% | 8.8% |
| May Proctor | 6.5% | 13.2% | 17.2% | 22.4% | 24.5% | 11.0% | 4.5% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Kyle Shrewsbury | 0.8% | 1.3% | 2.4% | 5.5% | 9.0% | 23.0% | 27.6% | 26.1% | 4.3% |
| Matthew Laufer | 4.2% | 7.5% | 11.2% | 18.6% | 29.5% | 18.3% | 9.0% | 1.6% | 0.1% |
| Sam Lookadoo | 1.1% | 1.3% | 2.6% | 4.7% | 7.8% | 20.7% | 27.0% | 27.6% | 7.2% |
| Mikala Krag | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 2.6% | 5.2% | 10.0% | 79.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.