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📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Jacksonville University0.84+0.92vs Predicted
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2North Carolina State University0.11+0.70vs Predicted
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3Clemson University-0.45+0.42vs Predicted
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5Jacksonville University-0.61-1.41vs Predicted
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6University of North Carolina-0.51-2.51vs Predicted
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7University of Tennessee-3.79-0.99vs Predicted
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8University of Tennessee-5.84-1.14vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.92Jacksonville University0.840.5%1st Place
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2.7North Carolina State University0.110.2%1st Place
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3.42Clemson University-0.450.1%1st Place
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3.59Jacksonville University-0.610.1%1st Place
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3.49University of North Carolina-0.510.1%1st Place
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6.01University of Tennessee-3.790.0%1st Place
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6.86University of Tennessee-5.840.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fiona Froelich | 47.5% | 25.4% | 17.0% | 7.8% | 2.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Marc Hauenstein | 20.4% | 28.6% | 22.7% | 17.6% | 10.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Neil Bunce | 10.7% | 16.1% | 21.9% | 24.6% | 25.3% | 1.4% | 0.0% |
| Cheyenne Dooley | 10.7% | 13.3% | 18.2% | 24.4% | 30.6% | 2.8% | 0.0% |
| Francis "Mac" Humphrey | 10.3% | 16.2% | 19.6% | 24.2% | 27.5% | 2.1% | 0.1% |
| Luke Ritchie | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 3.6% | 81.6% | 12.3% |
| Avery Roth | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 11.5% | 87.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.