← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1North Carolina State University0.11+1.70vs Predicted
-
2Jacksonville University-0.61+1.55vs Predicted
-
3Jacksonville University0.84-1.10vs Predicted
-
5Clemson University-0.45-1.57vs Predicted
-
6University of North Carolina-0.51-2.47vs Predicted
-
7University of Tennessee-3.79-0.98vs Predicted
-
8University of Tennessee-5.84-1.13vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.7North Carolina State University0.110.2%1st Place
-
3.55Jacksonville University-0.610.1%1st Place
-
1.9Jacksonville University0.840.5%1st Place
-
3.43Clemson University-0.450.1%1st Place
-
3.53University of North Carolina-0.510.1%1st Place
-
6.02University of Tennessee-3.790.0%1st Place
-
6.87University of Tennessee-5.840.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marc Hauenstein | 22.4% | 26.6% | 21.3% | 19.2% | 9.8% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Cheyenne Dooley | 10.1% | 13.8% | 20.6% | 24.1% | 28.9% | 2.5% | 0.0% |
| Fiona Froelich | 45.8% | 29.4% | 16.0% | 6.3% | 2.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Neil Bunce | 11.2% | 15.7% | 21.2% | 23.7% | 26.8% | 1.4% | 0.0% |
| Francis "Mac" Humphrey | 10.3% | 14.0% | 20.2% | 25.3% | 28.3% | 1.8% | 0.1% |
| Luke Ritchie | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 3.2% | 82.0% | 12.3% |
| Avery Roth | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 11.6% | 87.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.