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📊 Prediction Accuracy
57.1%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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2University of North Carolina-0.51+1.44vs Predicted
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3Jacksonville University-0.61+0.57vs Predicted
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4Jacksonville University0.84-2.10vs Predicted
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5North Carolina State University0.11-2.23vs Predicted
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6Clemson University-0.45-2.56vs Predicted
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7University of Tennessee-3.79-0.99vs Predicted
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8University of Tennessee-5.84-1.13vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.44University of North Carolina-0.510.1%1st Place
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3.57Jacksonville University-0.610.1%1st Place
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1.9Jacksonville University0.840.5%1st Place
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2.77North Carolina State University0.110.2%1st Place
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3.44Clemson University-0.450.1%1st Place
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6.01University of Tennessee-3.790.0%1st Place
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6.87University of Tennessee-5.840.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Francis "Mac" Humphrey | 11.5% | 16.6% | 19.3% | 23.9% | 26.0% | 2.7% | 0.0% |
| Cheyenne Dooley | 9.9% | 13.6% | 20.4% | 24.0% | 30.0% | 2.1% | 0.0% |
| Fiona Froelich | 45.6% | 29.5% | 15.8% | 7.2% | 1.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Marc Hauenstein | 22.0% | 23.2% | 23.2% | 19.3% | 11.6% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Neil Bunce | 10.8% | 16.6% | 20.5% | 24.0% | 26.6% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
| Luke Ritchie | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 3.4% | 81.5% | 12.3% |
| Avery Roth | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 11.6% | 87.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.