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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.8
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Jacksonville University0.84+0.80vs Predicted
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2Clemson University-0.45+1.04vs Predicted
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3North Carolina State University0.11-0.55vs Predicted
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4Jacksonville University-0.61-0.78vs Predicted
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5University of North Carolina-2.21-0.21vs Predicted
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7University of Tennessee-3.79-1.14vs Predicted
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8University of Tennessee-5.84-1.16vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.8Jacksonville University0.840.5%1st Place
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3.04Clemson University-0.450.1%1st Place
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2.45North Carolina State University0.110.2%1st Place
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3.22Jacksonville University-0.610.1%1st Place
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4.79University of North Carolina-2.210.0%1st Place
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5.86University of Tennessee-3.790.0%1st Place
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6.84University of Tennessee-5.840.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fiona Froelich | 50.1% | 28.3% | 14.7% | 5.7% | 1.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Neil Bunce | 13.0% | 20.1% | 27.7% | 28.8% | 9.6% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Marc Hauenstein | 22.5% | 32.7% | 26.3% | 14.6% | 3.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Cheyenne Dooley | 11.9% | 16.0% | 24.1% | 34.6% | 12.5% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Runyon Tyler | 2.1% | 2.5% | 5.9% | 13.5% | 57.0% | 17.5% | 1.5% |
| Luke Ritchie | 0.4% | 0.4% | 1.2% | 2.4% | 13.9% | 70.2% | 11.5% |
| Avery Roth | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 2.0% | 10.5% | 87.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.