← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Clemson University-0.45+2.03vs Predicted
-
2Jacksonville University-0.61+1.22vs Predicted
-
3Jacksonville University0.84-1.25vs Predicted
-
4North Carolina State University0.11-1.51vs Predicted
-
5University of North Carolina-2.21-0.18vs Predicted
-
7University of Tennessee-3.79-1.15vs Predicted
-
8University of Tennessee-5.84-1.16vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.03Clemson University-0.450.1%1st Place
-
3.22Jacksonville University-0.610.1%1st Place
-
1.75Jacksonville University0.840.5%1st Place
-
2.49North Carolina State University0.110.2%1st Place
-
4.82University of North Carolina-2.210.0%1st Place
-
5.85University of Tennessee-3.790.0%1st Place
-
6.84University of Tennessee-5.840.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Neil Bunce | 13.5% | 20.4% | 27.1% | 28.5% | 9.6% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Cheyenne Dooley | 10.7% | 16.9% | 25.6% | 34.4% | 11.2% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Fiona Froelich | 50.0% | 31.4% | 13.1% | 5.0% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Marc Hauenstein | 24.0% | 27.5% | 26.9% | 18.5% | 2.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Runyon Tyler | 1.6% | 3.1% | 5.9% | 10.9% | 59.8% | 17.2% | 1.5% |
| Luke Ritchie | 0.2% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 2.4% | 13.8% | 70.1% | 11.5% |
| Avery Roth | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 2.2% | 10.4% | 87.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.