← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Jacksonville University0.84+0.93vs Predicted
-
2North Carolina State University0.11+0.71vs Predicted
-
3Clemson University-0.45+0.42vs Predicted
-
4University of North Carolina-0.51-0.54vs Predicted
-
5Jacksonville University-0.61-1.39vs Predicted
-
7University of Tennessee-3.79-0.98vs Predicted
-
8University of Tennessee-5.84-1.13vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
1.93Jacksonville University0.840.5%1st Place
-
2.71North Carolina State University0.110.2%1st Place
-
3.42Clemson University-0.450.1%1st Place
-
3.46University of North Carolina-0.510.1%1st Place
-
3.61Jacksonville University-0.610.1%1st Place
-
6.02University of Tennessee-3.790.0%1st Place
-
6.87University of Tennessee-5.840.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fiona Froelich | 47.5% | 25.3% | 16.6% | 8.2% | 2.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Marc Hauenstein | 20.0% | 28.8% | 22.7% | 17.8% | 10.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Neil Bunce | 10.6% | 16.1% | 22.4% | 24.3% | 25.1% | 1.5% | 0.0% |
| Francis "Mac" Humphrey | 12.0% | 15.1% | 19.7% | 23.3% | 28.1% | 1.8% | 0.0% |
| Cheyenne Dooley | 9.5% | 14.3% | 18.0% | 25.0% | 30.7% | 2.4% | 0.1% |
| Luke Ritchie | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 3.1% | 82.1% | 12.3% |
| Avery Roth | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 11.6% | 87.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.