← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of South Florida1.15+1.46vs Predicted
-
2Rollins College0.30+1.72vs Predicted
-
3Jacksonville University0.85-0.10vs Predicted
-
4-1.93+2.33vs Predicted
-
5Vanderbilt University-1.36+0.79vs Predicted
-
6University of South Florida0.55-2.70vs Predicted
-
7Rollins College0.37-3.40vs Predicted
-
8University of Central Florida-4.87-0.10vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.46University of South Florida1.150.3%1st Place
-
3.72Rollins College0.300.1%1st Place
-
2.9Jacksonville University0.850.2%1st Place
-
6.33-1.930.0%1st Place
-
5.79Vanderbilt University-1.360.0%1st Place
-
3.3University of South Florida0.550.2%1st Place
-
3.6Rollins College0.370.1%1st Place
-
7.9University of Central Florida-4.870.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grace Jones | 32.6% | 24.6% | 19.4% | 13.8% | 7.3% | 2.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Jackson McGeough | 11.5% | 15.2% | 15.4% | 21.7% | 22.8% | 11.1% | 2.3% | 0.0% |
| Stefanos Pappas | 21.2% | 22.9% | 21.8% | 17.5% | 12.5% | 3.5% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Rain Hong | 0.8% | 1.4% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 6.1% | 24.3% | 55.6% | 5.0% |
| Victor Larimer | 2.9% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 5.9% | 11.5% | 38.5% | 34.2% | 1.3% |
| Luke Justin | 16.5% | 18.0% | 19.8% | 19.6% | 17.8% | 7.3% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Hilton Kamps | 14.4% | 15.2% | 16.8% | 18.2% | 21.7% | 11.9% | 1.8% | 0.0% |
| Kayla Doering | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 1.3% | 4.4% | 93.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.