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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of South Florida-0.19+2.78vs Predicted
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2Rollins College0.64+0.60vs Predicted
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3-2.26+3.83vs Predicted
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4University of South Florida0.11-0.56vs Predicted
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5Rollins College-0.08-1.29vs Predicted
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6Jacksonville University-0.46-1.71vs Predicted
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7University of Central Florida-0.52-2.54vs Predicted
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8University of Central Florida-2.27-1.12vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.78University of South Florida-0.190.1%1st Place
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2.6Rollins College0.640.3%1st Place
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6.83-2.260.0%1st Place
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3.44University of South Florida0.110.2%1st Place
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3.71Rollins College-0.080.1%1st Place
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4.29Jacksonville University-0.460.1%1st Place
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4.46University of Central Florida-0.520.1%1st Place
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6.88University of Central Florida-2.270.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Garrett Floerchinger | 14.8% | 14.3% | 16.3% | 16.6% | 17.1% | 14.1% | 5.1% | 1.7% |
| Shay Bridge | 31.4% | 23.8% | 17.4% | 14.3% | 7.7% | 4.2% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Liam Dunn | 1.9% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 8.4% | 29.1% | 46.5% |
| Sara Menesale | 16.7% | 19.0% | 17.4% | 17.7% | 14.1% | 10.3% | 4.2% | 0.6% |
| Julia Scott | 13.6% | 16.3% | 18.6% | 15.3% | 16.0% | 14.1% | 5.5% | 0.6% |
| Kayla Putzke | 10.5% | 11.4% | 13.4% | 14.6% | 18.3% | 19.8% | 9.0% | 3.0% |
| Julian Larsen | 9.7% | 10.4% | 12.7% | 13.2% | 17.9% | 20.8% | 11.7% | 3.6% |
| Adrien Barnes | 1.4% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 8.3% | 34.2% | 44.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.