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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University2.42+1.80vs Predicted
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2Tulane University1.73+4.78vs Predicted
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3College of Charleston1.26+4.55vs Predicted
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4Northeastern University1.18+4.42vs Predicted
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5Tufts University1.01+4.11vs Predicted
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6Rollins College0.58+4.22vs Predicted
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7Georgetown University1.80-1.38vs Predicted
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8George Washington University1.07+1.58vs Predicted
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9University of Rhode Island-0.20+3.77vs Predicted
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10Brown University1.69-3.46vs Predicted
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11U. S. Naval Academy-0.21+2.28vs Predicted
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12Clemson University0.12-1.60vs Predicted
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13Roger Williams University1.31-5.90vs Predicted
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14University of Vermont0.24-1.99vs Predicted
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15Jacksonville University0.48-4.55vs Predicted
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16Christopher Newport University-0.84-3.29vs Predicted
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17U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.18-5.22vs Predicted
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18Northwestern University-0.54-4.12vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.8Yale University2.4232.9%1st Place
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6.78Tulane University1.737.0%1st Place
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7.55College of Charleston1.265.8%1st Place
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8.42Northeastern University1.184.2%1st Place
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9.11Tufts University1.014.2%1st Place
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10.22Rollins College0.583.1%1st Place
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5.62Georgetown University1.8010.0%1st Place
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9.58George Washington University1.073.7%1st Place
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12.77University of Rhode Island-0.201.6%1st Place
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6.54Brown University1.697.5%1st Place
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13.28U. S. Naval Academy-0.211.5%1st Place
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10.4Clemson University0.122.9%1st Place
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7.1Roger Williams University1.316.7%1st Place
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12.01University of Vermont0.241.7%1st Place
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10.45Jacksonville University0.482.8%1st Place
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12.71Christopher Newport University-0.841.4%1st Place
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11.78U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.182.0%1st Place
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13.88Northwestern University-0.540.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carmen Cowles | 32.9% | 21.8% | 17.2% | 10.9% | 7.0% | 4.5% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ava Anderson | 7.0% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 9.6% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Emily Alfortish | 5.8% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 4.2% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 0.8% |
| Sophia Hubbard | 4.2% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 0.9% |
| Shay Bridge | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 3.0% |
| Emily Doble | 10.0% | 12.2% | 10.4% | 10.9% | 10.0% | 9.7% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Arrieta Angueira Salbidegoitia | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 3.2% | 1.7% |
| Emaline Ouellette | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 10.3% | 12.4% | 14.7% |
| Katherine McNamara | 7.5% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Kate Zurinskas | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 11.0% | 15.3% | 17.9% |
| Ashton Loring | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 3.6% |
| Tavia Smith | 6.7% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Caitlin Derby | 1.7% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 10.6% | 9.9% | 8.6% |
| Kaitlyn Liebel | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 4.7% | 3.1% |
| Laura Smith | 1.4% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 9.2% | 10.9% | 13.1% | 13.1% |
| Meara Conley | 2.0% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 9.3% | 9.3% | 10.5% | 7.7% |
| Anna Kovacs | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 11.0% | 13.9% | 24.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.