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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Pennsylvania2.68+0.51vs Predicted
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3Stevens Institute of Technology0.48+0.56vs Predicted
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4Princeton University1.50-1.50vs Predicted
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5Drexel University0.70-1.62vs Predicted
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6Rutgers University0.06-1.90vs Predicted
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7Penn State University-3.61-1.06vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.51University of Pennsylvania2.680.6%1st Place
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3.56Stevens Institute of Technology0.480.1%1st Place
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2.5Princeton University1.500.2%1st Place
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3.38Drexel University0.700.1%1st Place
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4.1Rutgers University0.060.0%1st Place
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5.94Penn State University-3.610.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Russom | 63.0% | 26.1% | 8.6% | 2.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Jeffrey Samalot | 5.9% | 14.1% | 24.7% | 29.0% | 25.5% | 0.8% |
| Gene Merewether | 19.6% | 33.8% | 27.2% | 15.4% | 3.9% | 0.1% |
| Jennifer Mislinski | 8.5% | 15.8% | 25.9% | 29.2% | 20.2% | 0.4% |
| Dylan Richardson | 3.0% | 10.0% | 13.0% | 24.0% | 47.9% | 2.1% |
| Jacqueline Ligorski | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 2.2% | 96.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.