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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College4.43+4.48vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University4.74+2.55vs Predicted
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3Connecticut College3.78+4.90vs Predicted
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4College of Charleston4.00+3.22vs Predicted
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5Boston University3.56+3.60vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College4.06+1.03vs Predicted
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7St. Mary's College of Maryland3.96+0.27vs Predicted
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8U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.46+0.95vs Predicted
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9University of Vermont3.51+0.11vs Predicted
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10Roger Williams University3.47-1.06vs Predicted
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12Washington College2.29+1.19vs Predicted
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13University of South Florida3.48-4.00vs Predicted
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14University of Pennsylvania2.68-2.03vs Predicted
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15University of Virginia3.54-6.09vs Predicted
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16Old Dominion University4.01-8.98vs Predicted
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17Cornell University2.07-3.17vs Predicted
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18Columbia University1.99-3.98vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.48Boston College4.430.1%1st Place
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4.55Georgetown University4.740.2%1st Place
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7.9Connecticut College3.780.1%1st Place
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7.22College of Charleston4.000.1%1st Place
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8.6Boston University3.560.0%1st Place
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7.03Dartmouth College4.060.1%1st Place
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7.27St. Mary's College of Maryland3.960.1%1st Place
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8.95U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.460.1%1st Place
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9.11University of Vermont3.510.0%1st Place
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8.94Roger Williams University3.470.0%1st Place
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13.19Washington College2.290.0%1st Place
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9.0University of South Florida3.480.0%1st Place
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11.97University of Pennsylvania2.680.0%1st Place
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8.91University of Virginia3.540.0%1st Place
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7.02Old Dominion University4.010.1%1st Place
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13.83Cornell University2.070.0%1st Place
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14.02Columbia University1.990.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anne Haeger | 13.7% | 12.1% | 9.6% | 10.7% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Chris Barnard | 16.8% | 14.9% | 13.5% | 10.8% | 10.8% | 9.7% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kevin Martland | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 1.8% | 0.8% |
| Samuel Stokes | 8.6% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Pesch | 4.9% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 4.0% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 3.3% | 0.9% |
| Sam Williams | 7.2% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Victor Diaz De Leon | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Daniel Liberty | 5.4% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 1.5% |
| Jordan Factor | 3.7% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 3.6% | 1.5% |
| Connor Needham | 3.4% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 3.5% | 1.3% |
| Mildred Conroy | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 8.8% | 13.0% | 19.3% | 21.6% |
| SEAN Ross | 4.7% | 4.1% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 1.2% |
| Michael Russom | 2.1% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 10.1% | 15.4% | 11.4% | 10.8% |
| Gordon Wolcott | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 6.1% | 2.8% | 1.0% |
| Dillon Paiva | 8.6% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| Jonathan Goldsmith | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 14.1% | 19.6% | 27.5% |
| John Croll | 0.6% | 0.6% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 10.6% | 21.1% | 31.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.